La0Hu0Tang
2021-03-15
1 day
Next All Time High: "1 Day Or 25 Years?"<blockquote>下一个历史新高：“1天还是25年？”</blockquote>
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However, there have also been long periods where we’ve been devoid of ATHs, usually after one of these market peaks.<b>The longest was the 6490 business days between September 1929 and September 1955.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所观察到的，这种历史高点集群毫不奇怪地集中在长期市场估值高点周围，其中20年代末、60年代中期、90年代末和当前时期是显而易见的点。然而，也有很长一段时间我们没有ATH，通常是在这些市场高峰之后。<b>最长的是1929年9月至1955年9月期间的6490个工作日。</b></blockquote></p><p>Between March 2000 and May 2007 we went 1803 business days and between October 2007 and March 2013 we went 1376 business days.</p><p><blockquote>从2000年3月到2007年5月，我们去了1803个工作日，从2007年10月到2013年3月，我们去了1376个工作日。</blockquote></p><p>After the 1960s peak, inflation meant we did see all a few ATHs in the 1970s but in real terms it took well into the late 1980s to hit fresh ATHs. Indeed on a nominal basis we didn’t pass the peak reached in 1968 for the last time until 1982 even as inflation climbed around 280% over the period.</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪60年代达到顶峰之后，通货膨胀意味着我们确实在20世纪70年代看到了所有的一些ATH，但实际上，直到20世纪80年代末才出现新的ATH。事实上，从名义上看，我们直到1982年才最后一次超过1968年达到的峰值，尽管在此期间通货膨胀率攀升了280%左右。</blockquote></p><p>More recently we seen a much more brisk ascent, if only in nominal terms, thanks to the Fed's relentless injections of liquidity. AS a result, since 2013 the longest we’ve gone<i>without an ATH</i>was the 286 business days between May 2015 and July 2016.</p><p><blockquote>最近，由于美联储不断注入流动性，我们看到了更快的上升，即使只是名义上的。因此，自2013年以来，我们经历了最长的<i>没有ATH</i>是2015年5月至2016年7月之间的286个工作日。</blockquote></p><p>And while Friday's action saw a continuation of the upward momentum in stocks as well as the 12th ATH of the year, Reid is concerned that history suggests that \"there might be a point where we have to wait a decade or two for a new one\"... however with a new round of stimulus checks now arriving and with US GDP set to grow at near double digits rates - andfaster than China- Reid concludes that \"perhaps that period will wait for a while yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>虽然周五的走势见证了股市上涨势头的延续，也是今年的第12个ATH，但里德担心历史表明，“可能会有一个点，我们必须等待一二十年才能看到一个新的”...然而，随着新一轮刺激支票的到来，以及美国GDP将以接近两位数的速度增长——而且速度快于中国——里德得出的结论是，“也许这个时期还需要等待一段时间。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNext All Time High: \"1 Day Or 25 Years?\"<blockquote>下一个历史新高：“1天还是25年？”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-15 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As DB's Jim Reid wrote in his latest Friday Thematic Research recap from the last day of the week, Thursday saw the first all-time high in the S&P 500 for a whole month.</p><p><blockquote>正如DB的吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)在本周最后一天的最新周五主题研究回顾中所写的那样，周四标普500创下了整整一个月以来的第一个历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97a5f3caa33ebb7acd236f6af5f0d328\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">It was nevertheless the 11th ATH in 2021 to date, and if anyone (spuriously) decides to annualize this, it would mean 57 in total for the year which would be the fourth largest behind 1995 (77), 1964 (62) and 2017 (62).</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，这是2021年迄今为止的第11个ATH，如果有人（虚假地）决定将其年化，这将意味着今年总共57个，这将是继1995年（77个）、1964年（62个）和2017年（62个）之后的第四大ATH。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f200de23fd75d359dc8935306a578238\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"231\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">As Reid observes, such clusters of all-time highs are unsurprisingly focused around secular market valuation highs with the late 1920s, mid 1960s, late 1990s and the current period the obvious points. However, there have also been long periods where we’ve been devoid of ATHs, usually after one of these market peaks.<b>The longest was the 6490 business days between September 1929 and September 1955.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所观察到的，这种历史高点集群毫不奇怪地集中在长期市场估值高点周围，其中20年代末、60年代中期、90年代末和当前时期是显而易见的点。然而，也有很长一段时间我们没有ATH，通常是在这些市场高峰之后。<b>最长的是1929年9月至1955年9月期间的6490个工作日。</b></blockquote></p><p>Between March 2000 and May 2007 we went 1803 business days and between October 2007 and March 2013 we went 1376 business days.</p><p><blockquote>从2000年3月到2007年5月，我们去了1803个工作日，从2007年10月到2013年3月，我们去了1376个工作日。</blockquote></p><p>After the 1960s peak, inflation meant we did see all a few ATHs in the 1970s but in real terms it took well into the late 1980s to hit fresh ATHs. Indeed on a nominal basis we didn’t pass the peak reached in 1968 for the last time until 1982 even as inflation climbed around 280% over the period.</p><p><blockquote>在20世纪60年代达到顶峰之后，通货膨胀意味着我们确实在20世纪70年代看到了所有的一些ATH，但实际上，直到20世纪80年代末才出现新的ATH。事实上，从名义上看，我们直到1982年才最后一次超过1968年达到的峰值，尽管在此期间通货膨胀率攀升了280%左右。</blockquote></p><p>More recently we seen a much more brisk ascent, if only in nominal terms, thanks to the Fed's relentless injections of liquidity. AS a result, since 2013 the longest we’ve gone<i>without an ATH</i>was the 286 business days between May 2015 and July 2016.</p><p><blockquote>最近，由于美联储不断注入流动性，我们看到了更快的上升，即使只是名义上的。因此，自2013年以来，我们经历了最长的<i>没有ATH</i>是2015年5月至2016年7月之间的286个工作日。</blockquote></p><p>And while Friday's action saw a continuation of the upward momentum in stocks as well as the 12th ATH of the year, Reid is concerned that history suggests that \"there might be a point where we have to wait a decade or two for a new one\"... however with a new round of stimulus checks now arriving and with US GDP set to grow at near double digits rates - andfaster than China- Reid concludes that \"perhaps that period will wait for a while yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>虽然周五的走势见证了股市上涨势头的延续，也是今年的第12个ATH，但里德担心历史表明，“可能会有一个点，我们必须等待一二十年才能看到一个新的”...然而，随着新一轮刺激支票的到来，以及美国GDP将以接近两位数的速度增长——而且速度快于中国——里德得出的结论是，“也许这个时期还需要等待一段时间。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/next-all-time-high-1-day-or-25-years\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/next-all-time-high-1-day-or-25-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182503274","content_text":"As DB's Jim Reid wrote in his latest Friday Thematic Research recap from the last day of the week, Thursday saw the first all-time high in the S&P 500 for a whole month.It was nevertheless the 11th ATH in 2021 to date, and if anyone (spuriously) decides to annualize this, it would mean 57 in total for the year which would be the fourth largest behind 1995 (77), 1964 (62) and 2017 (62).As Reid observes, such clusters of all-time highs are unsurprisingly focused around secular market valuation highs with the late 1920s, mid 1960s, late 1990s and the current period the obvious points. However, there have also been long periods where we’ve been devoid of ATHs, usually after one of these market peaks.The longest was the 6490 business days between September 1929 and September 1955.Between March 2000 and May 2007 we went 1803 business days and between October 2007 and March 2013 we went 1376 business days.After the 1960s peak, inflation meant we did see all a few ATHs in the 1970s but in real terms it took well into the late 1980s to hit fresh ATHs. Indeed on a nominal basis we didn’t pass the peak reached in 1968 for the last time until 1982 even as inflation climbed around 280% over the period.More recently we seen a much more brisk ascent, if only in nominal terms, thanks to the Fed's relentless injections of liquidity. AS a result, since 2013 the longest we’ve gonewithout an ATHwas the 286 business days between May 2015 and July 2016.And while Friday's action saw a continuation of the upward momentum in stocks as well as the 12th ATH of the year, Reid is concerned that history suggests that \"there might be a point where we have to wait a decade or two for a new one\"... however with a new round of stimulus checks now arriving and with US GDP set to grow at near double digits rates - andfaster than China- Reid concludes that \"perhaps that period will wait for a while yet.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/322870976"}
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