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Jefferies: ‘We think that a recession is almost inevitable’
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Our '23 GDP forecast now stands at 1.7% (from 0.5%), while '24 falls to -0.5% from -0.3%. With better economic growth, we also see fewer cuts to Fed Funds in '24 and finish the year at 2.38%.”</p> <p>The financial institution contended that pressure from higher interest rates will ultimately have a more meaningful impact on the market, even if it's delayed. \"We are looking at a reckoning delayed rather than a reckoning denied,\" the firm stated.</p> <p>While Jefferies says that a recession is inevitable, many other Wall Street experts now believe in a soft landing, as investors digest data from the Q2 earnings season.</p> <p>In premarket action Monday, the broader financial indices (<span>DJI</span>), (SP500) and (<span>COMP.IND</span>) along with their mirrored tracking exchange traded funds (DIA), (SPY), (VOO), (IVV), and (QQQ) each look to open up in the green.</p> <p><b>More on Markets:</b></p> <ul> <li>Nasdaq, S&P, Dow futures rise with yields also higher</li> <li>Biggest stock movers today: Nikola and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YELL\">Yellow Corporation</a> and more</li> <li>Remote work? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> tells employees to return to office</li> </ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJefferies: ‘We think that a recession is almost inevitable’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-07 20:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3998070-jefferies-we-think-that-a-recession-is-almost-inevitable-and-predicts-a-q1-2024-timeline><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Jefferies' equity research team revealed Monday that it has revised its growth outlook, noting that it sees limited upside for the stock market and that it anticipates that a recession will take hold ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3998070-jefferies-we-think-that-a-recession-is-almost-inevitable-and-predicts-a-q1-2024-timeline\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1394663007/image_1394663007.jpg","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DIA":"道琼斯ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3998070-jefferies-we-think-that-a-recession-is-almost-inevitable-and-predicts-a-q1-2024-timeline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2357323915","content_text":"Jefferies' equity research team revealed Monday that it has revised its growth outlook, noting that it sees limited upside for the stock market and that it anticipates that a recession will take hold in Q1 of 2024. “We think that a recession is almost inevitable given numerous factors, but have not seen evidence that the economy is starting to lose much momentum,” Jefferies stated in an investor note. “So rather than starting in Q3 '23, we expect a recession to begin in Q1 '24. Our '23 GDP forecast now stands at 1.7% (from 0.5%), while '24 falls to -0.5% from -0.3%. With better economic growth, we also see fewer cuts to Fed Funds in '24 and finish the year at 2.38%.” The financial institution contended that pressure from higher interest rates will ultimately have a more meaningful impact on the market, even if it's delayed. \"We are looking at a reckoning delayed rather than a reckoning denied,\" the firm stated. While Jefferies says that a recession is inevitable, many other Wall Street experts now believe in a soft landing, as investors digest data from the Q2 earnings season. In premarket action Monday, the broader financial indices (DJI), (SP500) and (COMP.IND) along with their mirrored tracking exchange traded funds (DIA), (SPY), (VOO), (IVV), and (QQQ) each look to open up in the green. More on Markets: Nasdaq, S&P, Dow futures rise with yields also higher Biggest stock movers today: Nikola and Yellow Corporation and more Remote work? 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