谈新股的时机

2018-07-24

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 我来小米发帖两个星期了，看到的全是人性贪婪和恐惧的变化。都说要长期投资，那我告诉你长期投资还真不是每个人都能行的。有些新手看到帖子里面一直看多就跟着追进去，以为价值投资很容易，结果一进就被套，在恐惧的面前往往会让你失去理性。一般一只新股要走很长一段时间才会到一个合理的价格来衡量它现在的估值，而在这个价格买入代表了它现在的价值合理。至于未来它是好还是坏就是你对它持有的程度，但是既然愿意选择长期持有就要选择一个合适的买入价进去。连巴菲特都是等到自己觉得合适的时候再买入，一等就是几年时间，还要考虑各个方面的情况。这才上市一两周就提长期投资是不是有点牵强，而且最近各种雷爆发，贸易战打响，美股新高，也是很有机会买到更低的价格，何必要急与一时呢？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

妥妥的阿
2018-07-24
妥妥的阿
现在的社区怎么了？不痛不痒说几句都能当精华贴？一个人天天说要跌，等真的跌了他就是股神吗？小米破发了还是怎么了？在一个价格分歧点回撤很正常
- 机构猎杀者回复妥妥的阿:
  怎么还不懂哦！我这个贴说的很短，但是结合整个过程意义就不一样了。我14号的时候是在整个老虎股票群里面说这股会大跌，那里可是有很多投资高手在的。
- 洛川回复妥妥的阿:
  都说了和预测涨跌没关系，加精是这篇文章除了涨跌的内容。兄弟！😂😂
- 妥妥的阿回复洛川:
  天天喊跌总有一天对的，被喷的厉害也是该，难道今天说对了他就是股神了吗？22本来就是个价值分歧点，回撤也很正常，不是他说跌就跌明白吗？那怎么前面的贴不加精，真的匪夷所思
- 洛川:
  加精是因为文章内容，跟预不预测没关系。他一直看跌小米，前面发帖被人喷得厉害，不知道你看没看到过。
- 机构猎杀者回复论坛打假:
  那我说的这股会跌难道说错了嘛！我建议在22的时候出难道也不对了。我建议不追高难道也不行嘛！还挑我的文章不好，你写一篇出来看看。看有没有人鸟你。
幸运的大星哥
2018-07-24
幸运的大星哥
在么我该割肉全跑吗。现在很…
- 虾爬子回复机构猎杀者:
  机构猎杀者确实是这样建议的，我看到过
- 机构猎杀者回复妥妥的阿:
  总之他一早就问我，我就叫他拉高的时候走，至于他听不听建议是他自己的事。
- 妥妥的阿:
  马后炮的话你也信？
- 机构猎杀者:
  反弹到3个多点的时候没想到要出嘛！
精神钉子户
2018-07-24
精神钉子户
一句话——自负盈亏，你的理论也好经验也好，最终只能看结果论定是否正确，然而市场总是瞬息万变的，短期市场被利益集团搅的天翻地覆更是常事，所以就结果而言，短期赚了一波的会喷你，那你以为赔了的会感谢你吗？当然不会，他们只会喷你喷的更厉害，理论上支持你的只有那些不参与游戏的人，他们不会被情感与利益影响，然而那些人连游戏本身都不关注了，还会看你洋洋洒洒这么长一段文字么
- 我胖虎去抽根烟回复精神钉子户:
  不参与游戏？
- 精神钉子户:
  所以我只是精神上的支持一波
- 机构猎杀者回复精神钉子户:
  如果按正常市场走势是千变万化的，但是有机构和庄家操控，这个市场就变的有规律了。哈哈
- 精神钉子户回复机构猎杀者:
  我不参与，谢谢
- 机构猎杀者:
  你就是多头而已，不喜欢看到跌。这就是你现在的心理。
到穷死指数
2018-07-24
到穷死指数
价投只是一个安慰而已，别当真，套住后不愿意割的都说自己要长期投资，迅雷，趣店这些里面不知道埋了多少枯骨，以及现在的三傻又不知道要埋多少人
- 机构猎杀者:
  如果拿fb，亚马逊来看就不一样了。
- 机构猎杀者:
  哈哈！我知道，但是也要分好股还是差股。你说的这些完全是差股。
昌平小队长
2018-07-24
昌平小队长
21的时候买的要想解套是不是要等很久很久... 求大神指点
- iDal回复机构猎杀者:
  好的👌谢谢
- 机构猎杀者回复iDal:
  新股我一般都不感兴趣，都是上市半年至一年才会去考虑它。因为有些新股会直接破发，有些会拉高出货。中国铁塔是个大市值公司，因该属于先拉高那一类。
- iDal回复机构猎杀者:
  对打新中国铁塔有什么意见？
- 昌平小队长回复机构猎杀者:
  明白了谢谢大神
- 机构猎杀者:
  可能会比较久吧！但是如果你没有全仓买入的话，是有机会的，你可以拉低成本。
fuxin
2018-07-24
fuxin
没有人比市场更聪明的，说太多都是空话后话
- 侠小义回复侠小义:
  不好意思，不太熟悉，发到了评论里，打扰层主还请见谅。
- 侠小义回复侠小义:
  无论你们是像我一样继续持有，还是选择卖出，然后等合适的时候再次购入，至少请先放下那些浮躁，做一个尽量不会让自己后悔的选择。
- 侠小义:
  哈哈看完这帖，受益良多，作为新手，确实是盲目了，“愿意选择长期持有就要选择一个合适的买入价进去”，作为高价买的，这段时间也一直上来观察，确实是感触良多，这句话让我很受触动，受教了。
  作为一个追高的新手，懊恼自责沮丧恐惧这些情绪我没有，有的反倒是一种明悟和收获。
  在这里也希望那些和我一样追高的年轻人与新手，放下那些焦躁、急切、忧虑，平复自己的内心，然后再冷静的做出自己的决定，无论你们是
- 机构猎杀者:
  这股到22的时候我就提醒要撤了，只是在看多情绪下，我是被骂的而已。
- 机构猎杀者:
  如果再加上技术面，基础面来做参考，这股何时是底合适是反弹何时是回调，就简单的多了。

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