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2021-06-11

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The stock market's fear index just dropped below a key level that suggests further upside ahead<blockquote>股市恐惧指数刚刚跌破一个关键水平，这表明未来将进一步上涨</blockquote>

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A VIX below 20 is seen as a signal that the stock market is transitioning from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton.<blockquote>芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数（也称为 VIX）跌破 20 水平，并触及 COVID-19 大流行开始以来的最低点。Fairlead Strategies 的凯蒂·斯托克顿 (Katie Stockton) 表示，VIX 低于 20 被视为股市正在从高波动性制度过渡到低波动性制度的信号。</blockquote> And according to&nbsp;Fundstrat's Tom Lee, a fall below 20 in the VIX signals a risk-on environment that would spark fund flows into stocks from systematic and quantitative investment funds.<blockquote>Fundstrat 的 Tom Lee 表示，VIX 跌破 20 预示着风险环境，这将引发系统性和量化投资基金的资金流入股票。</blockquote> \"A fall below 20 takes this volatility index to pre-2020 levels and a drop in the VIX would be a risk-on signal,\" Lee said in a note last month.<blockquote>李在上个月的一份报告中表示：“跌破 20 将使该波动率指数达到 2020 年之前的水平，而 VIX 的下跌将是一个风险承担信号。”</blockquote> But the VIX has staged multiple head fakes over the past few months, briefly falling below 20 before spiking higher in February, November, and August.<blockquote>但VIX在过去几个月里上演了多次假头，短暂跌破20，然后在2月、11月和8月飙升。</blockquote> That's why Stockton recommends investors wait for confirmation of a breakdown in the VIX before making any portfolio changes, like removing market hedges. Confirmation of a VIX breakdown would require consecutive daily closes below the 20 level, according to a Tuesday note from Stockton.<blockquote>这就是为什么斯托克顿建议投资者在进行任何投资组合变化（例如取消市场对冲）之前等待 VIX 崩溃的确认。根据斯托克顿周二的一份报告，VIX 崩溃的确认需要连续每日收盘价低于 20 水平。</blockquote> \"This would mark a potentially bullish shift in sentiment, and a move from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, last seen pre-Covid with a new floor for the VIX near 11,\" Stockton said, adding that a VIX breakdown \"would support near-term upside follow-through for the inversely correlated S&amp;P 500.\"<blockquote>Stockton 表示：“这将标志着情绪可能出现看涨转变，并从高波动性状态转向低波动性状态，最后一次出现是在新冠疫情之前，VIX 的新下限接近 11。”他补充说，VIX 崩溃“将支持反向相关标普500的近期上行后续行动。”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d91dc4c981539c4f2ca677e8b7fd75\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"447\">Fairlead Strategies<blockquote>公平引导策略</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market's fear index just dropped below a key level that suggests further upside ahead<blockquote>股市恐惧指数刚刚跌破一个关键水平，这表明未来将进一步上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market's fear index just dropped below a key level that suggests further upside ahead<blockquote>股市恐惧指数刚刚跌破一个关键水平，这表明未来将进一步上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nBusiness Insider2021-03-17 15:14\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul> <li>A decline in stock-market volatility over the past few weeks suggests more upside ahead for stocks.</li> <li>On Tuesday, the CBOE Volatility Index fell below the key 20 level and hit its lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.</li> <li>According to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton, a consistent VIX reading below 20 would signal a bullish shift in sentiment.</li> </ul> The stock market's fear gauge fell below a key level on Tuesday that suggested further upside was ahead for stocks.<blockquote><ul><li>过去几周股市波动性的下降表明股市未来有更多上涨空间。</li><li>周二，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数跌破关键 20 水平，并触及 COVID-19 大流行开始以来的最低水平。</li><li>Fairlead Strategies 的 Katie Stockton 表示，VIX 读数持续低于 20 将表明市场情绪出现看涨转变。</li></ul>周二，股市的恐惧指标跌破一个关键水平，这表明股市将进一步上涨。</blockquote> The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, fell below the 20 level and hit its lowest point since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. A VIX below 20 is seen as a signal that the stock market is transitioning from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton.<blockquote>芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数（也称为 VIX）跌破 20 水平，并触及 COVID-19 大流行开始以来的最低点。Fairlead Strategies 的凯蒂·斯托克顿 (Katie Stockton) 表示，VIX 低于 20 被视为股市正在从高波动性制度过渡到低波动性制度的信号。</blockquote> And according to&nbsp;Fundstrat's Tom Lee, a fall below 20 in the VIX signals a risk-on environment that would spark fund flows into stocks from systematic and quantitative investment funds.<blockquote>Fundstrat 的 Tom Lee 表示，VIX 跌破 20 预示着风险环境，这将引发系统性和量化投资基金的资金流入股票。</blockquote> \"A fall below 20 takes this volatility index to pre-2020 levels and a drop in the VIX would be a risk-on signal,\" Lee said in a note last month.<blockquote>李在上个月的一份报告中表示：“跌破 20 将使该波动率指数达到 2020 年之前的水平，而 VIX 的下跌将是一个风险承担信号。”</blockquote> But the VIX has staged multiple head fakes over the past few months, briefly falling below 20 before spiking higher in February, November, and August.<blockquote>但VIX在过去几个月里上演了多次假头，短暂跌破20，然后在2月、11月和8月飙升。</blockquote> That's why Stockton recommends investors wait for confirmation of a breakdown in the VIX before making any portfolio changes, like removing market hedges. Confirmation of a VIX breakdown would require consecutive daily closes below the 20 level, according to a Tuesday note from Stockton.<blockquote>这就是为什么斯托克顿建议投资者在进行任何投资组合变化（例如取消市场对冲）之前等待 VIX 崩溃的确认。根据斯托克顿周二的一份报告，VIX 崩溃的确认需要连续每日收盘价低于 20 水平。</blockquote> \"This would mark a potentially bullish shift in sentiment, and a move from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, last seen pre-Covid with a new floor for the VIX near 11,\" Stockton said, adding that a VIX breakdown \"would support near-term upside follow-through for the inversely correlated S&amp;P 500.\"<blockquote>Stockton 表示：“这将标志着情绪可能出现看涨转变，并从高波动性状态转向低波动性状态，最后一次出现是在新冠疫情之前，VIX 的新下限接近 11。”他补充说，VIX 崩溃“将支持反向相关标普500的近期上行后续行动。”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d91dc4c981539c4f2ca677e8b7fd75\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"447\">Fairlead Strategies<blockquote>公平引导策略</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-fear-index-below-key-level-suggests-more-upside-2021-3-1030216300\">Business Insider</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-fear-index-below-key-level-suggests-more-upside-2021-3-1030216300","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154634871","content_text":"A decline in stock-market volatility over the past few weeks suggests more upside ahead for stocks.\nOn Tuesday, the CBOE Volatility Index fell below the key 20 level and hit its lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.\nAccording to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton, a consistent VIX reading below 20 would signal a bullish shift in sentiment.\n\nThe stock market's fear gauge fell below a key level on Tuesday that suggested further upside was ahead for stocks.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, fell below the 20 level and hit its lowest point since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. A VIX below 20 is seen as a signal that the stock market is transitioning from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton.\nAnd according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee, a fall below 20 in the VIX signals a risk-on environment that would spark fund flows into stocks from systematic and quantitative investment funds.\n\"A fall below 20 takes this volatility index to pre-2020 levels and a drop in the VIX would be a risk-on signal,\" Lee said in a note last month.\nBut the VIX has staged multiple head fakes over the past few months, briefly falling below 20 before spiking higher in February, November, and August.\nThat's why Stockton recommends investors wait for confirmation of a breakdown in the VIX before making any portfolio changes, like removing market hedges. Confirmation of a VIX breakdown would require consecutive daily closes below the 20 level, according to a Tuesday note from Stockton.\n\"This would mark a potentially bullish shift in sentiment, and a move from a high-volatility regime to a low-volatility regime, last seen pre-Covid with a new floor for the VIX near 11,\" Stockton said, adding that a VIX breakdown \"would support near-term upside follow-through for the inversely correlated S&P 500.\"\nFairlead Strategies","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"VIX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1850,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/181129686"}