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2021-07-20

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Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙滩线</blockquote>

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This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.<blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在 4335，但我们建议将 4300 作为关键的 “避险 ”水平。这是由于对这次罢工有相当大的公开兴趣，这也使它成为今天早上的第一次阻力。今天的关键水平是4300，4335（伽马翻转）向上，4240向下支撑。</blockquote> We certainly see the setup for weakness today...and another call to The PPT imminent...<blockquote>我们今天当然看到了弱点的设置……PPT的另一个看涨期权即将到来……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.<blockquote>今天监控隐含波动率[IV]（即VIX）将至关重要。IV 的任何下跌，特别是突破 4300 点，都可能导致非常急剧的反弹，从而在接下来的几个交易日内将我们带回历史高点。由于波动性较高，这个市场不太可能保持“持平”。如果价格走势暂停，可能会导致 IV 下跌和短期回补反弹。</blockquote> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.<blockquote>相反，IV 的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护，这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为 4240 是今天的下行极限，下方有一个很大的空气袋，直至 4150。</blockquote> As shown below the current gamma models suggests thatwe don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.<blockquote>如下所示，当前的伽马模型表明除非我们回到 4400 点，否则我们不会看到太多的正伽马值，因此波动性应该会保持在较高水平，直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week. We also have the “retail short put position” that we&nbsp;flagged&nbsp;this weekend.<blockquote>VIX 将于周三上午到期，这可能会成为本周的催化剂.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头头寸”。</blockquote> Our bottom line is this:a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.<blockquote>我们的底线是：收盘价高于 4300 点让多头获得控制权。低于这一水平，市场将处于 “规避风险 ”的状态。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙滩线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙滩线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nzerohedge2021-07-19 20:58\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nFutures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...<blockquote>期货在今天开盘前（相对）大幅下跌，小盘股领跌……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a3932b1fc7ed150d2f4f83bba31fb01\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"588\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably,SpotGammapoints out thatwe start the session in a negative gamma position.<blockquote>值得注意的是，Spotgamma 指出我们在负伽马位置开始会议。</blockquote> The official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.<blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在 4335，但我们建议将 4300 作为关键的 “避险 ”水平。这是由于对这次罢工有相当大的公开兴趣，这也使它成为今天早上的第一次阻力。今天的关键水平是4300，4335（伽马翻转）向上，4240向下支撑。</blockquote> We certainly see the setup for weakness today...and another call to The PPT imminent...<blockquote>我们今天当然看到了弱点的设置……PPT的另一个看涨期权即将到来……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.<blockquote>今天监控隐含波动率[IV]（即VIX）将至关重要。IV 的任何下跌，特别是突破 4300 点，都可能导致非常急剧的反弹，从而在接下来的几个交易日内将我们带回历史高点。由于波动性较高，这个市场不太可能保持“持平”。如果价格走势暂停，可能会导致 IV 下跌和短期回补反弹。</blockquote> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.<blockquote>相反，IV 的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护，这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为 4240 是今天的下行极限，下方有一个很大的空气袋，直至 4150。</blockquote> As shown below the current gamma models suggests thatwe don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.<blockquote>如下所示，当前的伽马模型表明除非我们回到 4400 点，否则我们不会看到太多的正伽马值，因此波动性应该会保持在较高水平，直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week. We also have the “retail short put position” that we&nbsp;flagged&nbsp;this weekend.<blockquote>VIX 将于周三上午到期，这可能会成为本周的催化剂.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头头寸”。</blockquote> Our bottom line is this:a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.<blockquote>我们的底线是：收盘价高于 4300 点让多头获得控制权。低于这一水平，市场将处于 “规避风险 ”的状态。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198051456","content_text":"Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...\nNotably,SpotGammapoints out thatwe start the session in a negative gamma position.\nThe official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.\nWe certainly see the setup for weakness today...and another call to The PPT imminent...\nMonitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.\nConversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.\nAs shown below the current gamma models suggests thatwe don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.\nVIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week. We also have the “retail short put position” that we flagged this weekend.\nOur bottom line is this:a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1009,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":17,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/171765504"}