美联储 10 月加息 25 个基点概率暂报 23.8%

链捕手07:34

ChainCatcher 消息，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.2%，加息 25 个基点的概率为 23.8%。

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2675417393?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-10-14 07:34","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2675417393","market":"nz","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"美联储 10 月加息 25 个基点概率暂报 23.8%","media":"链捕手","content":"<html><body><p>ChainCatcher 消息，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.2%，加息 25 个基点的概率为 23.8%。</p></body></html>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储 10 月加息 25 个基点概率暂报 23.8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储 10 月加息 25 个基点概率暂报 23.8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-10-14 07:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.chaincatcher.com/article/2296045><strong>链捕手</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ChainCatcher 消息，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.2%，加息 25 个基点的概率为 23.8%。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.chaincatcher.com/article/2296045\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"TIP","symbol_name":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.chaincatcher.com/article/2296045","article_id":"2675417393","we_media_id":"1041503808","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2675417393","pubTimestamp":1791934457,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"链捕手","introduction":"链捕手ChainCatcher 成立于 2018 年，是一家领先的中文 Web3 媒体及数据服务商。","home_visible":1,"id":"1041503808","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f0784cc29a0d0070f6e968ef6ec7f5"},"summary":" ChainCatcher 消息，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.2%，加息 25 个基点的概率为 23.8%。 ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","PBDC":"Putnam Bdc Income ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","EIM":"Eaton Vance Municipal Bond Fun","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","XLRI":"The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Premium Income Fund","EBUF":"Innovator Emerging Markets 10 Buffer ETF - Quarterly","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","NELS":"Nelson Select ETF","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","NEMD":"Neuberger Emerging Markets Debt Hard Currency ETF","SHV":"Ishares Trust Trust Ishares 0-1 YEAR Treasury BOND ETF","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","CIVG":"Corgi 1-5 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","EMPB":"Efficient Market Portfolio Plus ETF","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","MYCN":"SPDR SSGA My2034 Corporate Bond ETF","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","XBIL":"US Treasury 6 Month Bill ETF","LIAJ":"LifeX 2053 Inflation-Protected Longevity Income ETF"},"translate_title":"The probability of the Federal Reserve's October rate hike reaching 25 basis points is tentatively 23.8%.","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99780fb3ee242cce8195020503fa4de1","symbols_score_info":{"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"EBUF":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"MYCN":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"LIAJ":1.5,"EMPB":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"SHV":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"SPY":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,"NELS":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"TLT":1.5,"IEF":1.5,"NEMD":1.5,"VOO":1.5,"EIM":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"XBIL":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"XLRI":1.5,"PBDC":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"CIVG":1.5},"content_text":"ChainCatcher 消息，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 76.2%，加息 25 个基点的概率为 23.8%。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.50.1","shortVersion":"4.50.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2675417393","isCrawlerRequest":true}