巴克莱：中东石油供应复苏遇阻，油市供需平衡前油价或再飚五成

格隆汇14:20

巴克莱发表研报指，本月较早时沙特阿拉伯东西向输油管道中断，凸显中东石油产量持续缓慢复苏面临的风险。该行警告，若当前局势持续，在石油市场恢复供需平衡前，国际油价有可能较现水平进一步上涨约50%。鉴于中东局势发展及需求端对高油价的反应，目前其油价预测面临的风险偏向上行。巴克莱预测，布伦特期油将在2026年第四季达到每桶95美元，随后四个季度分别为每桶90美元、85美元、85美元及80美元。

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