摩根大通：霍尔木兹海峡长期封锁情景下，明年布油或均值87美元 / 桶

智通财经09-09 19:59

【摩根大通：霍尔木兹海峡长期封锁情景下，明年布油或均值87美元 / 桶】大宗商品研究主管娜塔莎・卡涅娃牵头的摩根大通分析师团队在一份研报中表示：即便出现 “永久冲突” 情景、霍尔木兹海峡实质关闭，明年布伦特原油期货均价仍可能达到每桶 87 美元。摩根大通基准情景预测明年布伦特原油均价为 63 美元 / 桶，该情景假设 “2027 年全球维持和平状态”。“冲突持续时间可能远长于” 基准情景中的预设。“但这并不代表油价需要从此处大幅走高。”

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