高能预警！美通胀“温柔一刀”，金价创两月新高！中东油价暗流或令黄金掉头向下？......

市场资讯08-13 11:38

（来源：香港远东FE062）早盘建议▲黄金方面：因受美国7月CPI数据温和提振，符合预期的CPI数据，进一步削弱了美联储9月加息的理由。昨日黄金回调站稳后有所震荡上扬，盘中自低点4362.20小幅震荡上行至4441.11附近，尾盘有所回落而小幅收涨。日内开盘黄金小幅震荡回调修整，技术面看，黄金维持着震荡下跌走势概率大，短线来看黄金将继续震荡下行，策略上偏向于顺势看下跌。黄金开盘于4370.36，...

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Inflation in the United States is \"gentle\", and the price of gold reaches a new high in two months! Middle East oil price undercurrent or turn gold down?......","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"1OZmain":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5,"SGUmain":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"QOmain":1.5,"GDX":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"GCmain":1.5},"content_text":"（来源：香港远东FE062）早盘建议▲黄金方面：因受美国7月CPI数据温和提振，符合预期的CPI数据，进一步削弱了美联储9月加息的理由。昨日黄金回调站稳后有所震荡上扬，盘中自低点4362.20小幅震荡上行至4441.11附近，尾盘有所回落而小幅收涨。日内开盘黄金小幅震荡回调修整，技术面看，黄金维持着震荡下跌走势概率大，短线来看黄金将继续震荡下行，策略上偏向于顺势看下跌。黄金开盘于4370.36，最高触及4441.11，最低探至4362.20，收于4408.21。▲白银方面：因美元冲高受阻有所回落支撑白银，昨日白银跟随黄金回调站稳后有所震荡上扬，盘中自低点64.62震荡上行至66.79附近，尾盘有所回落而小幅收涨；日内开盘白银小幅震荡反弹修复；技术面看，白银维持震荡下跌走势概率大，短线来看白银将继续震荡下行，策略上偏向于顺势看下跌。白银开盘于64.62，最高触及66.79，最低探至64.62，收于65.30。每日交易提醒黄金技术面分析：昨天CPI符合预期，那么说明美国的通胀暂时没有加剧，那么黄金美联储加息预期就开始降温，黄金短期可能还将震荡上行，回落还是继续多为主。不过黄金近期强势大涨，短线可能有调整需求，那么耐心等待回落调整之后继续多。日线周期多头趋势结构保持完好，全部周期均线维持向上运行，5日均线上移至4405美元构成首要动态支撑；本轮上涨关键防守中枢设置在4372美元。昨日K线收出长下影震荡阳线，印证下方承接力度充足；日线MACD维持金叉运行，红柱继续放量，RSI进入偏高区间，短线存在超买修复需求，当下震荡属于新高之后的筹码交换，并不代表多头趋势终结。综合来看，本轮金价上涨是通胀数据符合预期、美联储加息押注降温、中东地缘风险升温以及技术面突破共同作用的结果。短期而言，市场将密切跟踪周四的生产者物价指数（PPI）与周五的零售销售数据，这些将决定加息预期的进一步调整方向。若后续数据继续显示通胀温和、经济动能放缓，黄金有望维持强势；反之，若油价因冲突升级大幅飙升并带动通胀预期回升，金价可能面临回调压力。更长远来看，黄金的吸引力不仅取决于实际利率路径，更取决于全球风险偏好与避险需求的此消彼长。中东局势的不确定性、美元走势的波动以及主要央行政策分化，都将在未来数周持续影响金价。对于投资者而言，当前环境既提供了参与机会，也要求对宏观数据与地缘动态保持高度敏感。金价已站上两个多月高位，但真正的考验或许才刚刚开始——在数据、政策与冲突的三重博弈中，黄金的下一步走向，仍充满变数。短线重点关注100日均线4387附近支撑，留意200日均线4500附近阻力。（以上图片文献来自网络，如有侵权请告知删除）\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2659180366","isCrawlerRequest":true}