CPI公布前，美联储9月加息25个基点的概率为45.9%

格隆汇08-12 20:27

CPI数据公布前，据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为54.1%，累计加息25个基点的概率为45.9%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为39.7%，累计加息25个基点的概率为48.1%，累计加息50个基点的概率为12.2%。

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2658336977?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-08-12 20:27","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","id":"2658336977","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"CPI公布前，美联储9月加息25个基点的概率为45.9%","media":"格隆汇","content":"<html><body>CPI数据公布前，据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为54.1%，累计加息25个基点的概率为45.9%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为39.7%，累计加息25个基点的概率为48.1%，累计加息50个基点的概率为12.2%。</body></html>","source":"live_gelonghui","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI公布前，美联储9月加息25个基点的概率为45.9%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI公布前，美联储9月加息25个基点的概率为45.9%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body>CPI数据公布前，据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为54.1%，累计加息25个基点的概率为45.9%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为39.7%，累计加息25个基点的概率为48.1%，累计加息50个基点的概率为12.2%。</body></html>\n\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">格隆汇</a> </p>\n\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n</div>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":null,"symbol_name":null,"start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml","article_id":"2658336977","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2658336977","pubTimestamp":1786537646,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"live_gelonghui","name":"格隆汇"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"CPI数据公布前，据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为54.1%，累计加息25个基点的概率为45.9%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为39.7%，累计加息25个基点的概率为48","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"gelonghui.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{},"translate_title":"Ahead of CPI, the probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September is 45.9%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b87361d12a992e49c34abce74525588","symbols_score_info":{"JULD":1.5,"EMPB":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"MUNX":1.5,"CIVG":1.5,"JUCY":1.5,"TLT":1.5,"WAMA":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"OOQB":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"QSWN":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"VEXC":1.5,"PBDC":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"IEF":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"AGZD":1.5,"XBIL":1.5,"IBTJ":1.5,"RAUS":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"LIAJ":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"BUCK":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"FEM":1.5,"SPY":1.5,"XTEN":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"HMOP":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"BIV":1.5,"SHV":1.5},"content_text":"CPI数据公布前，据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为54.1%，累计加息25个基点的概率为45.9%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为39.7%，累计加息25个基点的概率为48.1%，累计加息50个基点的概率为12.2%。","kind":"live","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":true,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2658336977","isCrawlerRequest":true}