黄力晨:美联储高利率打压限制黄金反弹空间

市场资讯07-31

7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。　　从之后的走势看，昨日周四亚盘开盘后，黄金短线冲高，涨至4100美元遇阻，回落4028美元企稳后，欧盘盘中...

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gdudhfjjfjzh
07-31
gdudhfjjfjzh
压得了一时，压不了二时。除非美国和其他国家不再印钱

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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2026-07-31/doc-iniktcuw9248822.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。\n　　从之后的走势看，昨日周四亚盘开盘后，黄金短线冲高，涨至4100美元遇阻，回落4028美元企稳后，欧盘盘中...</p>\n\n<a 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安全快捷有保障\n\n\n新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":591771742376320,"gmtCreate":1785501990197,"gmtModify":1785501991965,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"htmlText":"压得了一时，压不了二时。除非美国和其他国家不再印钱","listText":"压得了一时，压不了二时。除非美国和其他国家不再印钱","text":"压得了一时，压不了二时。除非美国和其他国家不再印钱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/591771742376320","repostId":2655336399,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2655336399","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1785497040,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2655336399?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-31 19:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"黄力晨:美联储高利率打压 限制黄金反弹空间","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2655336399","media":"市场资讯","summary":"7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。日线图上，黄金反弹遇阻回落，继续维持过去一个月的区间震荡运行。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。</p>\n<p>　　从之后的走势看，昨日周四亚盘开盘后，黄金短线冲高，涨至4100美元遇阻，回落4028美元企稳后，欧盘盘中黄金震荡回升，至4082美元遇阻，美盘开盘后，黄金继续冲高，涨至4120美元遇阻，回落4083美元企稳后，黄金再探4120美元遇阻，此后基本保持4100到4120美元区间横盘震荡，直到周五开盘后，黄金向下突破，刷新日低至4050美元，目前暂时<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002200\">交投</a>于4056美元。总体来看，黄金周四进一步冲高，与我们预期的方向一致，不过持续上涨缺乏动力，走势继续维持过去一个月的区间震荡运行。</p>\n<p>　　Wolfinance星级分析师认为，黄金维持过去一个月的震荡格局，未能出现突破走势，一方面因美联储维持利率不变，市场对9月加息的预期出现降温，为黄金提供阶段性支撑，中东局势持续紧张，加强黄金的避险需求，全球央行购金趋势强劲，今年二季度更是创造过去四年最高水平，为<span>金价</span><span></span>带来长期托底，另一方面则是美联储内部出现分歧，7月会议有3票支持加息，美联储的鹰派力量明显增强，中东局势推动油价再度上涨，加剧了全球通胀担忧，这让美联储很难轻易转向鸽派，黄金的反弹空间，依旧收到实际高利率的压制。</p>\n<p>　　日线图上，黄金反弹遇阻回落，继续维持过去一个月的区间震荡运行。黄金下方支撑，可以关注目前日内低点4050美元，也是周二美盘到周三亚欧盘金价主要承压位置，向下突破可以关注4000美元整数位置；黄金上方压力，可以关注日线布林带中轨4070美元，其次4100美元整数位置，周四美盘金价站稳这里横盘震荡，日内向下突破加速回落。5日均线轻微金叉且向下运行，MACD指标金叉明显放缓，KDJ指标形成死叉，RSI指标金叉下拐，有形成死叉的趋势，短期技术面显示黄金反弹遇阻后，回落风险有所加大。</p>\n<p>　　黄金日内参考：黄金刷新一周新高后，走势遇阻承压回落，金价继续受到实际高利率的压制。操作上建议震荡思路对待，上方压力可以关注4070和4100美元，下方支撑可以关注4050美元，向下突破关注4000美元。</p>\n<div>\n<span>新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<font>新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。</font>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>黄力晨:美联储高利率打压 限制黄金反弹空间</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n黄力晨:美联储高利率打压 限制黄金反弹空间\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-07-31 19:24 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2026-07-31/doc-iniktcuw9248822.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。\n　　从之后的走势看，昨日周四亚盘开盘后，黄金短线冲高，涨至4100美元遇阻，回落4028美元企稳后，欧盘盘中...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2026-07-31/doc-iniktcuw9248822.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","OUNZ":"VanEck Merk黄金股票基金","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","VEXC":"Vanguard Emerging Markets Ex-China ETF","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","DGP":"二倍做多黄金ETN(PowerShares)","SPY":"标普500ETF","MYCN":"SPDR SSGA My2034 Corporate Bond ETF","XLRI":"The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Premium Income Fund","FAAR":"First Trust Alternative Absolute Return Strategy ETF","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","FGDL":"FRANKLIN RESPONSIBLY SOURCED GOLD ETF","SHV":"Ishares Trust Trust Ishares 0-1 YEAR Treasury BOND ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","RING":"iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","NELS":"Nelson Select ETF","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","NEMD":"Neuberger Emerging Markets Debt Hard Currency ETF","UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","MUNX":"AMG GW&K Muni Income ETF","RAUS":"RACWI US ETF","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","WAMA":"WisdomTree U.S. Adaptive Moving Average Fund","IAUM":"ISHARES GOLD TRUST MICRO","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","FEM":"First Trust Emerging Markets AlphaDEX Fund","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","DBC":"商品指数ETF-PowerShares DB","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2026-07-31/doc-iniktcuw9248822.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2655336399","content_text":"7月31日，昨日周四我们认为，美联储连续第五次维持利率不变，让市场对9月加息的预期有所降温，美元因此承压刷新一周新低，为黄金反弹提供了支撑，短期技术面也显示，黄金有机会进一步反弹，因此操作上建议大家，下方支撑关注4070美元，其次4040美元，上方压力关注4116美元，其次4170美元。\n　　从之后的走势看，昨日周四亚盘开盘后，黄金短线冲高，涨至4100美元遇阻，回落4028美元企稳后，欧盘盘中黄金震荡回升，至4082美元遇阻，美盘开盘后，黄金继续冲高，涨至4120美元遇阻，回落4083美元企稳后，黄金再探4120美元遇阻，此后基本保持4100到4120美元区间横盘震荡，直到周五开盘后，黄金向下突破，刷新日低至4050美元，目前暂时交投于4056美元。总体来看，黄金周四进一步冲高，与我们预期的方向一致，不过持续上涨缺乏动力，走势继续维持过去一个月的区间震荡运行。\n　　Wolfinance星级分析师认为，黄金维持过去一个月的震荡格局，未能出现突破走势，一方面因美联储维持利率不变，市场对9月加息的预期出现降温，为黄金提供阶段性支撑，中东局势持续紧张，加强黄金的避险需求，全球央行购金趋势强劲，今年二季度更是创造过去四年最高水平，为金价带来长期托底，另一方面则是美联储内部出现分歧，7月会议有3票支持加息，美联储的鹰派力量明显增强，中东局势推动油价再度上涨，加剧了全球通胀担忧，这让美联储很难轻易转向鸽派，黄金的反弹空间，依旧收到实际高利率的压制。\n　　日线图上，黄金反弹遇阻回落，继续维持过去一个月的区间震荡运行。黄金下方支撑，可以关注目前日内低点4050美元，也是周二美盘到周三亚欧盘金价主要承压位置，向下突破可以关注4000美元整数位置；黄金上方压力，可以关注日线布林带中轨4070美元，其次4100美元整数位置，周四美盘金价站稳这里横盘震荡，日内向下突破加速回落。5日均线轻微金叉且向下运行，MACD指标金叉明显放缓，KDJ指标形成死叉，RSI指标金叉下拐，有形成死叉的趋势，短期技术面显示黄金反弹遇阻后，回落风险有所加大。\n　　黄金日内参考：黄金刷新一周新高后，走势遇阻承压回落，金价继续受到实际高利率的压制。操作上建议震荡思路对待，上方压力可以关注4070和4100美元，下方支撑可以关注4050美元，向下突破关注4000美元。\n\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障\n\n\n新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"DUST":1.5,"RAUS":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"FGDL":1.5,"MYCN":1.5,"DBC":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"NELS":1.5,"UUP":1.5,"FEM":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5,"IEF":1.5,"SHV":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"IAUM":1.5,"WAMA":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"NEMD":1.5,"MUNX":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"XLRI":1.5,"FAAR":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"IAU":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"OUNZ":1.5,"VEXC":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"GDX":1.5,"DGP":1.5,"RING":1.5,"TLT":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; 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黄力晨:美联储高利率打压 限制黄金反弹空间

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黄力晨:美联储高利率打压限制黄金反弹空间