CBCX:黄金回落聚焦利率预期

市场资讯07-24 16:37

7月24日，黄金在触及两周高位后回落，现货价格一度下跌约1.3%，期货跌幅相对更大。CBCX表示，前两个交易日累计反弹后，部分资金获利了结，同时美元走强也对贵金属形成压力。

　　能源价格上升令市场重新评估通胀与利率路径，投资者对下一次利率会议的关注度随之提高。CBCX认为，若借贷成本维持较高水平，无息资产的机会成本将继续成为黄金短期波动的重要变量。

　　从价格结构看，黄金近期守住每盎司4000美元附近区域，但上方4200美元一带仍是市场观察的关键阻力。与此同时，黄金基金重新出现资金流入，非商业净多头仓位也有所回升，显示调整过程中仍存在配置需求。

　　后续应关注美元、实际收益率及黄金基金流向能否形成一致信号。CBCX预计，在利率预期尚未稳定之前，黄金可能继续围绕关键支撑与阻力区间反复波动。

　　风险提示：本文仅为资讯分享，不构成投资建议。外汇、贵金属属高风险产品，波动较大或致本金亏损。请理性投资、自担风险。

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