长鑫周一上市！一图复盘巨型IPO下沪指表现

东方财富网18:19

集齐国产替代、AI算力、存储龙头、科创板史上最大IPO等多重热门概念的长鑫科技，即将在7月27日（周一）登陆A股，该股若全额行使超额配售权，募资总额将达到666亿元，会给市场带来怎样的冲击？　　复盘历史数据可以发现，巨型IPO上市确实会给市场的短期流动性带来冲击。据东方财富Choice数据，在A股前20大IPO上市的首日，上证指数出现调整的概率较高，其中农业银行、中国石油、中芯国际等IPO上市首日...

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A Chart of the Shanghai Composite Index Performance under the Giant IPO of review","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159967":0.6,"159982":1.5,"399001":0.6,"399006":0.6,"510300":0.6,"510880":0.6,"512510":0.6,"512880":0.6,"515890":0.6,"000688.SH":0.6,"000001.SH":1.5,"FRHC":1.5,"IPOS":1.5,"000905.SH":0.6,"KCE":1.5,"000300.SH":0.6,"REDS":1.5},"content_text":"集齐国产替代、AI算力、存储龙头、科创板史上最大IPO等多重热门概念的长鑫科技，即将在7月27日（周一）登陆A股，该股若全额行使超额配售权，募资总额将达到666亿元，会给市场带来怎样的冲击？　　复盘历史数据可以发现，巨型IPO上市确实会给市场的短期流动性带来冲击。据东方财富Choice数据，在A股前20大IPO上市的首日，上证指数出现调整的概率较高，其中农业银行、中国石油、中芯国际等IPO上市首日，沪指均显著下跌。　　不过，首日的冲击过后修复行情可能会很快到来。例如农业银行上市首日沪指下跌1.87%，但此后五个交易日累计上涨5.7%；中芯国际上市首日沪指下跌4.5%，但此后五个交易日里沪指累计上涨3.58%；中国建筑上市首日下跌5%，此后五个交易日里沪指累计反弹4.96%。　　中国石油与国泰海通上市后，沪指均未能出现明显修复，主要是因为两者上市时点在2007年年末以及2025年中，均处于此前大牛市的高点附近。机构指出，真正决定市场走向的，是当时的位置、流动性环境与产业趋势，而非IPO本身。　　中金财富建议：第一，不要将（巨型IPO）作为择时信号，既不要因此清仓看空，也不要盲目追高；第二，短期避开高波动小盘股，上市前后两周资金虹吸最严重；第三，拥抱核心资产，真正经得起IPO压力测试的，是有业绩兑现、产业趋势支撑的龙头。（文章来源：东方财富研究中心）","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2653089850","isCrawlerRequest":true}