三年前各投5000美元买入亚马逊和好市多，如今分别能赚多少钱？收益差距超乎你的想象

环球市场播报07-17

亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）与仓储式商超好市多（纳斯达克：COST）均是知名消费品零售企业，但从盈利本质来看，亚马逊的科技属性远强于零售属性。旗下业务覆盖云计算、芯片自研制造，以及面向全行业开放的人工智能算力基础设施。　　过去三年，AI 浪潮大幅推升众多科技股股价，照常理判断，亚马逊股价表现理应大幅跑赢好市多。这个判断的确成立，但如果三年前你各拿出 5000 美元分别买入两家股票，两者最终收益的...

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The income gap is beyond your imagination","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9962ade7ddfeb74c843671cbddba5993","symbols_score_info":{"ONLN":0.6,"OGIG":0.6,"COST":1.92,"CLIX":0.6,"AMZU":0.6,"AMZW":0.6,"AMZP":0.6,"ILDR":0.6,"COTG":0.6,"AMZN":1.97,"AMZD":0.6,"RTH":0.6,"COSW":0.6,"USAW.SI":0.6,"FSTA":0.6,"UGE":0.6,"WANT":0.6,"AMZY":0.6,"AZYY":0.6,"AMZZ":0.6,"XLP":0.6},"content_text":"亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）与仓储式商超好市多（纳斯达克：COST）均是知名消费品零售企业，但从盈利本质来看，亚马逊的科技属性远强于零售属性。旗下业务覆盖云计算、芯片自研制造，以及面向全行业开放的人工智能算力基础设施。\n　　过去三年，AI 浪潮大幅推升众多科技股股价，照常理判断，亚马逊股价表现理应大幅跑赢好市多。这个判断的确成立，但如果三年前你各拿出 5000 美元分别买入两家股票，两者最终收益的差值会出乎你的意料。\n\n　　各 5000 美元本金，如今资产价值对比\n　　先看 2023 年 7 月 14 日两家股票调整后收盘价（已拆分、分红复权）：\n　　股票 2023 年 7 月 14 日复权收盘价\n　　亚马逊 134.68 美元\n　　好市多 525.24 美元\n　　依托美股碎股交易机制，2023 年 7 月 14 日投入 5000 美元，可买入约 37.1 股亚马逊，或 9.5 股好市多。\n　　以 2026 年 7 月 14 日复权收盘价测算，两笔初始投资当前市值如下：\n　　亚马逊：9186 美元\n　　好市多：8756 美元\n　　很多人会感到意外：布局亚马逊的收益并没有大幅甩开好市多。这并非否定好市多 —— 我长期看好这家企业，它具备抗经济衰退的商业模式、高粘性客户群体、稳定常规股息，还会不定期派发特殊一次性分红。\n　　但站在未来三年的投资视角，我依然更看好亚马逊。\n　　增长核心机遇：云计算业务\n　　从传统估值指标对比，亚马逊当前估值比好市多更低：\n　　亚马逊远期市盈率 29.2 倍，好市多远期市盈率高达 41.1 倍。更低估值叠加更广的营收增长空间，让亚马逊具备更强配置价值。\n　　亚马逊是全球云计算基础设施龙头：2026 年一季度，旗下亚马逊云科技（AWS）全球市场份额达 28%；第二名微软 Azure 份额 21%。\n　　2025 年 AWS 全年营收 1287 亿美元，受益于 AI 产业扩张，未来数年营收将持续走高。高盛研报预测，2030 年全球云计算市场规模将突破 2 万亿美元，其中 10%–15% 的支出将用于生成式 AI 相关服务。\n　　亚马逊同步自研专属 AI 加速芯片，能够以更低算力成本满足客户需求，进一步巩固 AWS 行业优势。\n　　当然客观来说，亚马逊等超大规模云厂商，正在史无前例地砸重金扩建 AI 基础设施。想要稳住投资者信心，巨额资本开支最终必须兑现两大成效：推高营业利润率、打开增量营收空间，若两者同步实现最优。\n　　倘若亚马逊持续领跑全球云市场，且后续证明 AI 基建投入能兑现预期投资回报，长期持有该股的股东将获得丰厚回报。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：郭明煜","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2652425084","isCrawlerRequest":true}