RadexMarkets瑞德克斯:油价关注价差结构

市场资讯07-09 18:43

7月9日，原油期货价差在库存数据影响下趋于谨慎，RadexMarkets瑞德克斯表示，近月合约承压反映交易员正在重新衡量需求旺季与供应弹性。相比单日涨跌，价差结构更能体现市场对即时供需的判断。

　　从交易逻辑看，价差收窄通常意味着市场降低对短期紧张的预期。RadexMarkets瑞德克斯提到，若后续库存没有继续上升，当前谨慎情绪可能缓和；若需求低于预期，曲线压力仍会延续，近月合约弹性也会受限。

　　若近月升水收窄，说明市场对短期供应紧张的定价有所下降；若后续库存重新回落，价差仍可能修复。炼厂开工、成品油消费和运输成本将共同影响曲线变化。

　　接下来油价需要观察库存节奏、汽油需求和美元走势。RadexMarkets瑞德克斯提到，若需求数据改善，市场情绪或回暖；若库存压力延续，油价仍可能震荡偏弱。

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