荷兰国际：美伊紧张推升欧洲央行加息预期，但欧元上行空间有限

格隆汇07-10

荷兰国际集团分析师Francesco Pesole表示，近期美伊之间的军事打击提升了市场对欧洲央行再次加息的预期，但欧元受益空间有限。他指出，冲突再度升级已推动欧元兑美元短期掉期利差重新收紧。“虽然这一切为此前日渐消退的9月欧洲央行加息预期注入了新的信心，但欧元兑美元从此次再度升级中走强的路径相当狭窄。”他表示，周五欧元兑美元可能因市场等待局势明朗而趋于稳定，但存在回落至1.14下方的风险。

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