MHMarkets迈汇:黄金涨势仍看利率

市场资讯07-06 21:43

7月6日，黄金价格在加息预期降温和美元走弱背景下走高，MHMarkets迈汇表示，贵金属市场重新获得买盘关注，投资者正根据最新经济数据调整对未来政策路径的判断。

　　MHMarkets迈汇认为，金价反弹的关键并不只是单日美元回落，更在于实际利率压力是否持续缓和；若市场继续下调加息概率，黄金的持有成本压力会随之减轻。

　　从市场反应看，黄金短线买盘更偏向数据驱动，交易者会围绕就业、通胀和收益率变化快速调整仓位。白银等相关品种同步波动，也说明贵金属板块整体风险偏好有所恢复。

　　不过，黄金在高位附近仍面临获利盘和技术阻力。若后续数据重新支持强硬利率预期，美元与美债收益率反弹可能压制金价，令上行节奏转为震荡。

　　接下来MHMarkets迈汇预计，市场将重点跟踪通胀指标、政策讲话和ETF持仓变化，若利率预期继续降温，黄金有望维持偏强格局，但追高资金仍需留意短线波动。

　　综合来看，MHMarkets迈汇认为，黄金短线仍围绕利率预期定价，价格若想摆脱震荡，需要看到美元走弱、实际收益率回落和投资需求改善同时出现；若这些条件只有部分兑现，金价更可能以区间整理方式等待下一组宏观数据。

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