ChatGPT全球份额首降！中国大模型开源和低成本优势突显，阿里、腾讯、百度等头部厂商股价修复

每日经济新闻07-02

进入下半年，港股AI头部厂商股价迎来修复，阿里巴巴-W、腾讯控股、百度集团-SW等连续两日股价反弹。中信建投证券表示：头部厂商正通过底层架构优化，推动大模型推理边际成本的持续下降，进而全面加速AI应用在B端高频场景的商业化生态闭环。回顾上半年，国内大模型“新贵”和“头部厂商”个股层面呈现极端“K型”分化。“新贵”智谱年初上市后股价大涨1710.67%，MINIMAX-W大涨152.73%，迅策...

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The advantages of China's large model open source and low cost are highlighted, and the stock prices of leading manufacturers such as Ali, Tencent and Baidu are repaired","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/212db694f6e2a193579d3840232ea5ed","symbols_score_info":{"82800":0.6,"83115":0.6,"89888":0.6,"89988":0.6,"513330":1.84,"513600":0.6,"09115":0.6,"03037":0.6,"07500":0.6,"HBBD.SI":0.6,"00700":1.91,"02800":0.6,"03115":0.6,"MHImain":0.6,"07200":0.6,"HHImain":0.6,"ALBmain":0.6,"HSI":1.85,"HTCD.SI":0.6,"BIDU":1.92,"03419":0.6,"BABA":1.91,"09888":1.92,"09988":1.91,"02833":0.6,"HSTECH":1.85,"MCHmain":0.6,"07300":0.6,"TCEHY":1.91},"content_text":"进入下半年，港股AI头部厂商股价迎来修复，阿里巴巴-W、腾讯控股、百度集团-SW等连续两日股价反弹。\n中信建投证券表示：头部厂商正通过底层架构优化，推动大模型推理边际成本的持续下降，进而全面加速AI应用在B端高频场景的商业化生态闭环。\n回顾上半年，国内大模型“新贵”和“头部厂商”个股层面呈现极端“K型”分化。“新贵”智谱年初上市后股价大涨1710.67%，MINIMAX-W大涨152.73%，迅策涨141.19%。与之形成鲜明对比的是，头部厂商则由于资本开支侵蚀利润，股价集体承压：阿里巴巴-W跌34.40%，快手-W跌33.83%，美团-W跌33.69%，腾讯控股跌27.41%，百度集团-SW跌16.65%。截至目前，智谱最新市值达8000亿港元，拥有搜索引擎、无人驾驶、自研芯片、文心大模型等业务的百度集团市值仅3000亿港元，股价或严重低估。\n消息面上，全球大模型格局面临重塑。据美国“感应塔”数据分析公司6月16日发布的《2026年AI行业报告》，随着越来越多竞争对手涌现，OpenAI的ChatGPT大模型在全球AI助手市场所占份额首次跌破50%。大模型市场格局正加快从单一巨头垄断转向多方竞争态势；微软CEO也于近期呼吁打破巨头垄断，转向廉价模型并强化用户选择权，有报道称其正考虑采用中国大模型DeepSeek V4等开源模型以降低成本。\n由于AI产业前期阶段，资金审美更偏好盈利确定性更强的上游材料和硬件设备，以及AI新贵大模型公司（智谱、MiniMax），恒生互联网科技业指数自去年10月以来回调近45%，指数最新估值（PE-TTM）为19.4倍，位于近十年8.54%分位数，即估值低于近十年92%的时间，具备较高性价比。\n资料显示，恒生互联网ETF华夏（513330.SH）在A股上市，为跟踪恒生互联网科技业指数规模最大ETF。恒生互联网科技业为港股市场“AI应用”最纯粹的指数，AI含量达95%，也是港股市场BAT权重最高的指数，合计权重37%：成分股不仅囊括阿里巴巴-W、腾讯控股、快手-W、百度集团-SW、小米集团-W等大模型公司，还囊括金山软件、美图公司等垂直类应用平台。没有证券交易权限的投资者，也可以通过场外联接基金参与：华夏恒生互联网ETF联接C（013172.OF）。 \n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"corporation","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2648672570","isCrawlerRequest":true}