美股成交额TOP20：闪迪上半年上涨逾850%；英特尔收涨6%，获高盛150目标价；AMD涨超7%创新高

环球市场播报07-01

周二美股成交额第1名美光科技收高0.79%，成交464.22亿美元。该股在今年上半年累计上涨超过300%。据报道，美光科技宣布将投入2.5亿美元参与“特朗普账户”（530A账户）项目，该资金投入与公司此前披露的美国境内存储器制造及研发超2000亿美元的投入计划相互独立。本次项目具体安排包括：对员工为每名18岁以下子女最高1000美元的缴款提供等额配捐；在美光运营所在的7个州，为符合条件、已开设该...

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Blackwell平台提升达10倍，已于6月初宣布进入全面量产阶段，预计秋季开始出货。与多数华尔街机构相对保守的预测逻辑不同，SemiAnalysis的结论建立在覆盖材料供应商、晶圆制造、服务器整机厂商及云服务商的全产业链调研基础之上。第3名闪迪收高10.89%，成交248.1亿美元。今年上半年，闪迪股价累计上涨逾850%。有分析认为，闪迪股价上涨并非源于人工智能需求，根本原因是该行业无法破解的NAND闪存短缺问题。分析师称，市场普遍将闪迪2026年上半年股价大涨归因于AI数据中心带动企业级SSD需求激增，实际该行情本质是NAND闪存行业供应端收缩驱动的结构性行情，并非需求拉动。分析师指出，NAND闪存当前的涨价由行业主动供应自律驱动，并非需求过热，该结构性产能缺口需数年时间才能通过新建晶圆厂填补。闪迪的核心优势是在头部同行同步减产的背景下仍能稳定供货，当前股价已计入长期维持高利润率的预期。第4名AMD收高7.68%，成交195.68亿美元。该股在今年上半年上涨逾170%。周二富国银行将该芯片制造商的目标价从505美元大幅上调至615美元，并维持“增持”评级。新目标价意味着较周一收盘价仍有约14%的上行空间。富国银行分析师在报告中指出，AMD在服务器CPU领域正进入新一轮增长期，预计2026年服务器CPU收入将达到160亿美元，较此前水平增长68%。该分析师还预计，到2028年AMD数据中心GPU收入有望达到630亿美元，并认为AMD实现每股年收益超过20美元的时间将早于此前的预期。此外，瑞银近期将AMD目标价从455美元上调至670美元，维持“买入”评级，当前AMD股价约报519.85美元，此前该股已累计上涨约275%。本次上调核心依据为服务器CPU需求回暖，瑞银同步调整对应营收预期：2026至2028年服务器CPU营收预期分别上调至160亿美元、230亿美元与290亿美元，2030年营收预期从410亿美元上调至500亿美元。当前AMD估值已不再处于低位，业绩不及预期的容错空间大幅收窄，股价波动更易受市场情绪影响，此前受美光财报拖累，AMD盘前曾一度下跌5.77%。若行业热度降温，估值收缩的影响会先于基本面变化显现。第5名苹果收高2.70%，成交185.69亿美元。英国竞争与市场管理局启动一项公开咨询，提议允许应用开发者引导用户使用苹果和谷歌应用商店之外的支付渠道，以降低费用、促进市场竞争。竞争与市场管理局表示，苹果目前在英国完全禁止开发者引导用户绕开其支付系统，谷歌此前也对此设有一定控制。拟议措施将取消这些障碍，让开发者能够直接与用户沟通外部支付方式。该机构数字市场执行主任表示，给予应用开发者和用户更多沟通与交易方式的选择十分重要，这不仅能带来选择自由，更是向移动生态系统中竞争压力严重不足的关键环节引入竞争的最佳途径。第8名英特尔收高6.01%，成交159.55亿美元。该股在今年上半年累计上涨近280%。市场对人工智能基础设施支出的乐观情绪重燃，叠加半导体板块整体走强，共同推动该股大幅走高。英特尔成为本轮行情的重要受益者。公司股价年初至今已累计上涨约257%，在半导体指数成分股中表现突出。推动涨势的核心逻辑在于AI工作负载从训练阶段向推理阶段演进，CPU的重要性持续回升。分析师指出，训练任务中GPU与CPU配比约为8比1，推理阶段降至3至4比1，而代理式AI场景下有望接近1比1甚至更高。高盛近日首次覆盖英特尔，给予中性评级，目标价150美元。报告指出，英特尔将受益于服务器CPU需求上升，同时作为美国本土晶圆代工企业，先进封装业务短期将取得进展。公司2026年第一季度数据中心与AI业务收入约51亿美元，同比增长超过20%。公司对第二季度营收给出138亿至148亿美元的指引，数据中心有望实现双位数环比增长。第10名SpaceX收高4.06%，成交135.84亿美元。SpaceX股价周二延续涨势，投资者正积极调整仓位，以迎接该航天巨头将于7月7日纳入纳斯达克100指数这一重大事件。纳指运营商已确认，SpaceX将于7月7日开盘前正式加入该指数。此次快速纳入得益于纳斯达克今年放宽的准入规则，允许大型新股在上市15个交易日后即获纳入。SpaceX于6月12日完成创纪录的860亿美元IPO，至今交易时间刚满三周。纳入指数的直接效应是带来大规模的被动买入。摩根大通估计，SpaceX加入纳斯达克100可能吸引约43亿美元的被动资金流入。此前，SpaceX已于6月27日被纳入罗素1000指数，据估计已带动超40亿美元的被动买入。第13名迈威尔科技（Marvell 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