美银警告标普500或大跌超7% 投资者应采取防御性策略为回调做好准备

中金财经06-30

智通财经APP获悉，美国银行技术研究主管Paul Ciana警告称，投资者应对标普500指数进一步上涨进行风险对冲，并为未来数月可能出现的“三浪调整”做好准备。　　Ciana在周四发布的研究报告中表示，尽管标普500指数自3月低点以来已累计上涨近17%，自6月2日创下近期高点以来，这轮反弹已开始显露疲态。　　他预计，标普500指数未来最低可能跌至6850点，较当前水平仍有约7.6%的下跌...

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Ciana警告称，投资者应对标普500指数进一步上涨进行风险对冲，并为未来数月可能出现的“三浪调整”做好准备。\n\n　　Ciana在周四发布的研究报告中表示，尽管标普500指数自3月低点以来已累计上涨近17%，自6月2日创下近期高点以来，这轮反弹已开始显露疲态。\n\n　　他预计，标普500指数未来最低可能跌至6850点，较当前水平仍有约7.6%的下跌空间。“今年夏季的市场路线图将是一轮‘三浪调整’。”Ciana表示，“停火协议后的市场反弹波动性正在加剧，回调风险不断积聚。”\n\n　　他指出，目前标普500指数涨势已经“过度延伸”，市场动能正在减弱，因此建议投资者在7月至9月期间采取更加防御性的投资策略。\n\n　　不过，与美银相对谨慎的观点相比，华尔街近期整体情绪仍偏乐观。\n\n　　上周，法国兴业银行将标普500指数年底目标位从7300点上调至8000点。摩根大通和Fundstrat同样对标普500指数年内走势持乐观态度。\n\n　　事实上，美银策略师Savita Subramanian团队本月稍早便已提醒投资者，当前市场已经出现“过多危险信号”，建议适当获利了结。\n\n　　Ciana在最新报告中进一步指出，标普500指数目前正面临越来越明显的卖压，即便指数后续升至7741点并创出新高，也可能只是一次“假突破”。\n\n　　他预计，标普500指数的重要支撑位依次位于7200点、7025点以及6850点。Ciana还警告称，随着夏季行情持续推进，市场仍面临持续至10月的“双重调整”风险，投资者应警惕回调时间可能比预期更长。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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美银警告标普500或大跌超7% 投资者应采取防御性策略 为回调做好准备

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美银警告标普500或大跌超7% 投资者应采取防御性策略为回调做好准备