Samson Mow 断言 Bitcoin 底部已至，分析师后市观点分歧加剧

链捕手06-28

ChainCatcher 消息，Jan 3 CEO Samson Mow 今日断言 Bitcoin “底部已至”，其核心论据是：Bitcoin 在 2024 年 4 月减半前 37 天即创下当时的历史新高，这一反常前置表明传统四年减半周期已经加速，历史上可靠的时间规律不再适用。“即使你相信周期，也应该推导出周期已加速的结论。”

但市场远未形成共识：10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 认为底部更可能在 55,000 美元，时间窗口在 8 至 10 月间；BitMex 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 更为看空，预测 Bitcoin 将在六个月内触及约 40,000 美元；资深分析师 James Van Straten 指出，Bitcoin 目前正测试 200 周均线，链上数据暗示 50,000 至 54,000 美元区间可能成为下一关键战场，自 2011 年以来每轮重大熊市 Bitcoin 最终都会跌破已实现价格才确立周期底部，而当前周期尚未出现这一信号。

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