美光业绩日牵动全球科技股! 财报前夕股价暴跌13%后期权市场押注美光剧烈波动未完结

智通财经06-24

在周二经历单日股价暴跌13%的美光科技，其股价轨迹背后的6月26日期权链正在定价，到周五该期权到期时该股将再次出现剧烈波动;此前，在这家总部位于美国的存储芯片制造巨头发布财报前一天的周二市场交易中，其股价截至收盘下跌超13%，至约1,051美元，今年以来涨幅高达惊人的270%。在周二，今年以来带领全球股市屡创新高的热门AI算力基础设施主题股票集体暴跌，导致周二全球股市集体大幅下挫，堪称遭遇“黑色...

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财报前夕股价暴跌13%后 期权市场押注美光剧烈波动未完结\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-06-24 16:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1457879.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在周二经历单日股价暴跌13%的美光科技，其股价轨迹背后的6月26日期权链正在定价，到周五该期权到期时该股将再次出现剧烈波动;此前，在这家总部位于美国的存储芯片制造巨头发布财报前一天的周二市场交易中，其股价截至收盘下跌超13%，至约1,051美元，今年以来涨幅高达惊人的270%。在周二，今年以来带领全球股市屡创新高的热门AI算力基础设施主题股票集体暴跌，导致周二全球股市集体大幅下挫，堪称遭遇“黑色...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1457879.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0683600562.USD","symbol_name":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1457879.html","article_id":"2645868611","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2645868611","pubTimestamp":1782288486,"columns":[{"name":"行业数据","id":30,"label_key":"dataReport"}],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","name":"智通财经网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美光财报前暴跌超13%，期权市场押注即将再波动13%接近平值的跨式期权显示，到本周末交易日该股隐含波动幅度约为139美元，约相当于其当前截至周三收盘交易点位水平的上下波动约13%。1100看涨期权成交超过11,000张合约，而1200看涨期权成交接近10,000张。花旗将美光科技目标价从840美元上调至1200美元，维持“买入”评级，上修幅度高达40%。营收层面，花旗预测美光2026财年营收达1150亿美元，2027财年进一步增至1975亿美元。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zhitongcaijing.com","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1868836914.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"3\" (USD) ACC","LU0787776722.HKD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU0859254822.USD":"T ROWE PRICE GLOBAL VALUE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1323610961.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - LONG TERM THEMES (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","LU2357627491.SGD":"TRP GLOBAL VALUE EQUITY \"AH\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2089985449.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (USD) ACC","LU2048586759.USD":"ALLIANZ SMART ENERGY \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","BK4588":"碎股","LU2931357623.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (SGDHDG) ACC","MUD":"1倍做空MU ETF-Direxion","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU2211815571.USD":"ALLIANZ POSITIVE CHANGE \"AT\" (USD) ACC","MULL":"2倍做多MU ETF-GraniteShares","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0792757196.USD":"TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1366333091.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL FOCUS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","BK4605":"半导体精选","LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","MU":"美光科技","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2054465674.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC SICAV DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION T \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","LU0203347892.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL ACTIVE VALLUE \"A\" (USD)  INC AV","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0274383776.USD":"MANULIFE GF US SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0203345920.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLB ACT. 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Options market bets on wild Micron swings unfinished after shares plunge 13% on the eve of earnings","themeId":"e2482c489456454bb2227ec34bbeb7d8","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/564a5f02c57f5d56cf0b4583d04797fa","symbols_score_info":{"MULL":0.6,"MUD":0.6,"MUU":0.6,"MU":1.98},"content_text":"在周二经历单日股价暴跌13%的美光科技，其股价轨迹背后的6月26日期权链正在定价，到周五该期权到期时该股将再次出现剧烈波动;此前，在这家总部位于美国的存储芯片制造巨头发布财报前一天的周二市场交易中，其股价截至收盘下跌超13%，至约1,051美元，今年以来涨幅高达惊人的270%。在周二，今年以来带领全球股市屡创新高的热门AI算力基础设施主题股票集体暴跌，导致周二全球股市集体大幅下挫，堪称遭遇“黑色星期二”。市场对于“AI泡沫”走向破灭的担忧重燃，一些围绕高杠杆策略的投机势力以及聚焦高频短线操作的投资者们从今年以来表现强劲的仓位过度拥挤AI算力相关科技股中加速轮动撤出，同时等待美国与伊朗之间和平谈判的进一步积极进展。韩国股市基准股指——韩国Kospi综合指数因市场重新担忧两大占据50%权重的存储芯片巨头——三星电子与SK海力士涨势已过度拉伸而重挫逾9%，并触发熔断，交易一度暂停20分钟。在美股市场，资金对于韩国市场的杠杆资金平仓与对AI算力板块高估值泡沫的重新定价恐慌蔓延至美国，纳斯达克100指数大跌3.3%，费城半导体指数跌约8%，道琼斯指数表现出韧性，必需消费品、REITs、医疗保健和公用事业等防御性板块逆势上涨。市场注意力如今正转向总部位于美国的存储芯片制造巨头美光科技公司将于美东时间周三(北京时间周四晨间)公布的季度业绩与未来展望，这将成为检验AI算力基础设施支出能否支撑其自身强劲涨势，以及全球AI算力相关科技股今年以来无与伦比涨势的至关重要考验。在当前AI算力基础设施板块估值处于高位且仓位拥挤、投资者普遍担忧本轮上涨行情透支涨幅的情况下，美光科技将于美东时间周三公布的财报意义重大。若财报释放底层AI算力需求仍然旺盛、AI相关资本开支持续高增的信号，将提振市场看涨信心，支撑AI牛市延续。“尤其是集中在亚洲的区域型热门AI芯片股面临的短期风险主要包括市场结构、以及仓位拥挤度日益不稳定，加之美光周三美股收盘后的业绩可能引发剧烈波动。此外，市场对美国超大规模云服务商们前所未有的AI算力基础设施投资是否审慎的担忧正在加剧。”来自Bloomberg Strategists的资深策略师David Savage以及Macro Squawk表示。美光财报前暴跌超13%，期权市场押注即将再波动13%接近平值的跨式期权显示，到本周末交易日该股隐含波动幅度约为139美元，约相当于其当前截至周三收盘交易点位水平的上下波动约13%。1050跨式期权按中间价计价值约139.40美元，而1060和1070跨式期权价值均略高于139美元。这使得期权市场粗略定价的财报后美光股价区间接近920美元至1,200美元;考虑到该股此前已经遭遇一次无比剧烈的财报前重置，这一宽幅区间更加引人注目。此外，看涨期权一侧仍显示现货价上方存在浓厚看涨与逢低买入兴趣，表明股票市场交易员并未放弃股价反弹的任何可能性。1100看涨期权成交超过11,000张合约，而1200看涨期权成交接近10,000张。1050看涨期权的未平仓合约也相当可观，达到16,500张合约，使这一行权价成为整条期权链中最重要的价位之一。看跌期权一侧则同样活跃，这也是该期权链布局与设置看起来并非纯粹逢低买入的原因。1000看跌期权成交超过5,500张合约，未平仓合约超过8,400张;1050看跌期权成交接近4,000张合约。随着该股近日遭到抛售，看跌期权权利金飙升，1050至1070行权价区间内的接近平值级别看跌期权大致上涨180%或更多。这些都表明，在看涨情绪浓厚的同时，市场同样在积极预防美光业绩意外不及预期或未来增长指引与展望不够强劲以至于未能阻止抛售的悲观下跌情形，交易员们仍在高价购买保护性质的期权，以防范股价进一步下跌。美光财报重磅来袭，“AI超级牛市”面临重大考验对于第三财季，华尔街分析师们一致预计美光将公布每股收益20.57美元，营收大约352.5亿美元，意味着每股收益同比激增1000%以及营收有望实现同比增长279%。过去两年，美光营收和每股收益均有100%的全部时间超过分析师一致预期。华尔街金融巨头花旗近日大幅上调美光科技目标价及未来财年盈利预测，认为DRAM/NAND存储市场超级周期仍在强劲延续，美光的价格上行动能远超此前预期。花旗将美光科技目标价从840美元上调至1200美元，维持“买入”评级，上修幅度高达40%。与此同时，花旗分析师团队将美光2026财年及2027财年每股收益预测分别上调4%和10%，其中2027财年每股收益预测为114.73美元，较市场一致预期高出约4%。花旗将该机构对于美光的2026财年第三季度营收及每股收益预测上调6%，第四季度上调5%，花旗给出的第三季度每股收益同比层面的预期涨幅从1025%上调至1092%，主要依据为更为乐观的DRAM/NAND存储芯片定价预期。按花旗的最新预测，美光2026财年核心每股收益为60.73美元，2027财年进一步跃升至114.73美元，2028财年则为117.83美元。营收层面，花旗预测美光2026财年营收达1150亿美元，2027财年进一步增至1975亿美元。利润率的扩张幅度尤为显著，充分反映了存储芯片价格上涨对美光整体盈利的高度杠杆效应。花旗预计美光2026财年毛利率将从2025财年的39.8%大幅扩张至76.9%，2027财年进一步升至82.9%。无论是谷歌无比庞大的TPU AI算力集群，抑或天量级别英伟达AI GPU算力集群，均离不开需要全面集成搭载AI芯片的HBM存储系统，叠加当前科技巨头们加速新建或扩建AI数据中心必须大规模购置服务器级别DDR5存储以及企业级高性能SSD/HDD;而三星电子、SK海力士以及美光科技正好同时卡在这三块最核心存储领域：HBM、服务器高性能DRAM(包括 DDR5/LPDDR5X)、以及高端数据中心级别SSD，是“AI内存+存储堆栈”里最直接的受益势力，可谓吃到AI基建浪潮的“超级红利”。GPU负责生成智能，HBM/DRAM负责高速喂数，企业级NAND/eSSD负责热数据与缓存，而HDD负责天量级别的冷/温数据的长期留存，因此华尔街金融巨头花旗以及高盛均认为云计算巨头们主导的AI算力军备竞赛正在把存储芯片从周期品推成稀缺战略资产，2026年DRAM/NAND涨价不是尾声，而可能是超级周期的初步阶段。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":4,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":20,"favoriteSize":5,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.50.0","shortVersion":"4.50.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2645868611","isCrawlerRequest":true}

美光业绩日牵动全球科技股! 财报前夕股价暴跌13%后 期权市场押注美光剧烈波动未完结

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美光业绩日牵动全球科技股! 财报前夕股价暴跌13%后期权市场押注美光剧烈波动未完结