油价一度触及三个月新低市场准备迎接霍尔木兹海峡开放后的海量供应

环球市场播报06-17 18:09

　　油价短暂触及三个月新低，随后收窄跌幅。即将达成的美伊协议可能使大量原油重返市场，令油价承受重压。

　　WTI原油一度跌破每桶75美元，随后基本持平。定于周五签署的临时和平协议为德黑兰提供广泛的经济惠益，包括立即出售石油的权利，引发原油价格急剧下跌。

　　船东正通过将船舶重新部署至中东，为霍尔木兹海峡重新开放做准备。若航运最终恢复，还可能释放100多艘满载的油轮，这些油轮装载的是伊朗以外中东国家的原油，目前被困在海湾内，实际上相当于向市场释放库存。

　　大量供应涌入的前景已反映在主要市场指标中。中东迪拜原油市场的关键跨期价差已跌入看跌升水结构，暗示供应过剩。布伦特原油最近月合约跨期价差周三也呈现类似走势。

　　随着美伊结束战争的举措有望缓解全球能源市场紧张局面，原油价格已较冲突期间高点下跌近40%。生产商、航运企业和交易商如今正在评估协议是否能够持久，以及霍尔木兹这一咽喉要道的船舶通行需要多久才能真正恢复，但油价跌幅之大已经在压制由能源引发通胀飙升的风险。

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