美以伊冲突满百日！分析师预警油价或将再遭冲击

格隆汇06-07

今天(6月7日)是美以伊战争爆发第100天。自今年2月28日美国和以色列大规模空袭伊朗、伊朗展开反击开始，激烈的军事冲突持续了40天。尽管随后临时停火协议达成，美国与伊朗在巴基斯坦的斡旋下举行了首轮谈判，但截至目前，第二轮谈判迟迟未能举行。当前伊美之间围绕谈判分歧仍存，且双方之间始终缺乏互信。而以色列升级黎巴嫩局势、搅局谈判，以及伊美之间围绕霍尔木兹海峡的军事摩擦频繁发生，都使和平前景愈发不明朗...

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06-07
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等到现货缺口压不住的时候，或许逼仓行情就来了。

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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美以伊冲突满百日！分析师预警油价或将再遭冲击\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-06-07 17:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/5089480><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今天(6月7日)是美以伊战争爆发第100天。自今年2月28日美国和以色列大规模空袭伊朗、伊朗展开反击开始，激烈的军事冲突持续了40天。尽管随后临时停火协议达成，美国与伊朗在巴基斯坦的斡旋下举行了首轮谈判，但截至目前，第二轮谈判迟迟未能举行。当前伊美之间围绕谈判分歧仍存，且双方之间始终缺乏互信。而以色列升级黎巴嫩局势、搅局谈判，以及伊美之间围绕霍尔木兹海峡的军事摩擦频繁发生，都使和平前景愈发不明朗...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/5089480\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f6192cbef21ceccbcb430a274869950","relate_stocks":{"XOM":"埃克森美孚","DBO":"原油ETF-PowerShares","WTIU":"MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETN","MUR":"墨菲石油","XOMZ":"1倍做空XOM ETF-Direxion","BP":"英国石油","OILU":"MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. 3x Leveraged ETN","BWET":"BREAKWAVE TANKER SHIPPING ETF","DBC":"商品指数ETF-PowerShares DB","SHEH":"Shell plc ADRhedged","BNO":"美国布伦特原油基金有限合伙企业","BPH":"BP P.L.C. 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Bear 2X Shares","IEO":"iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas","HAL":"哈里伯顿","PXJ":"Invesco Oil & Gas Services ETF","VDE":"Vanguard Energy ETF","DIG":"二倍做多美国油气指数","VLO":"瓦莱罗能源","OILK":"ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF","BK4588":"碎股","USE":"USCF Energy Commodity Strategy Absolute Return Fund","EQNR":"Equinor ASA","USL":"United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP","XOMO":"XOM期权收益策略ETF-Yieldmax","USOI":"ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN","OILT":"Texas Oil Index ETF","DRLL":"Strive U.S. Energy ETF","ERX":"二倍做多能源ETF-Direxion","BSIN":"Big Sky Industrial Inc","XES":"SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF","COP":"康菲石油","XOMX":"2倍做多XOM ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/5089480","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2641178989","content_text":"今天(6月7日)是美以伊战争爆发第100天。自今年2月28日美国和以色列大规模空袭伊朗、伊朗展开反击开始，激烈的军事冲突持续了40天。尽管随后临时停火协议达成，美国与伊朗在巴基斯坦的斡旋下举行了首轮谈判，但截至目前，第二轮谈判迟迟未能举行。当前伊美之间围绕谈判分歧仍存，且双方之间始终缺乏互信。而以色列升级黎巴嫩局势、搅局谈判，以及伊美之间围绕霍尔木兹海峡的军事摩擦频繁发生，都使和平前景愈发不明朗。分析师警告未来几周可能再度出现油价冲击随着霍尔木兹海峡油轮通行的协议迟迟未能达成，全球石油库存正降至危险低位。行业高管和分析师警告，未来几周可能再度出现油价冲击，其严重程度足以波及更广泛的金融市场。摩根大通预测，除非海峡通行恢复正常，6月下旬油价可能迅速上涨。美国原油库存已连续八周下降，降至2024年2月以来最低水平。分析师指出，第二轮价格冲击的风险真实存在，可能来自缓冲机制的耗尽而非海峡关闭本身。投资者认为，霍尔木兹海峡已成为持续的地缘政治瓶颈，即使紧张局势缓解，油价也不太可能回到70美元以下。更高的油价对美国经济构成“温和逆风”，但欧洲和亚洲对持续能源通胀更为脆弱。若原油升至每桶120美元并持续一年，美国经济增长可能放缓约0.4个百分点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IEO":1.5,"OIH":1.5,"DIG":1.5,"PBR":2,"VLO":2,"BPH":0.6,"DRIP":1.5,"DBE":1.5,"DBO":1.5,"SLB":2,"XOMZ":0.6,"USE":1.5,"BKR":2,"DBC":1.5,"PSX":2,"OILK":1.5,"MPC":2,"SHEH":0.6,"DUG":1.5,"XOMX":0.6,"DVN":2,"XOM":2,"COP":2,"PBRG":0.6,"WTIU":1.5,"SHEL":2,"BP":2,"OILU":1.5,"MUR":2,"OXY":2,"CVX":2,"BWET":1.5,"BZmain":2,"BNO":1.5,"PXE":1.5,"XOMO":0.6,"INDO":2,"IXC":1.5,"PXJ":1.5,"USOI":1.5,"CLmain":2,"ERX":1.5,"BSIN":2,"FTXN":1.5,"OILT":1.5,"PBF":2,"DRLL":1.5,"UGA":1.5,"USEG":2,"VDE":1.5,"XES":1.5,"EQNR":2,"USL":1.5,"HAL":2,"GUSH":1.5}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2641178989","isCrawlerRequest":true}