OEXN:油价回吐后仍看库存变化

市场资讯06-05 17:22

6月5日，OEXN表示，国际油价在连续上行后出现回吐，说明市场对扰动的反应开始从情绪驱动转向供需核算。即便短线紧张情绪略有缓和，交易员仍在重新评估美国库存收紧与运输风险之间的叠加影响。

　　就盘面表现而言，OEXN认为这轮回落更像是技术性整理，而不是对原油基本面进行彻底改写。美国库存此前释放出偏紧信号，使得市场难以迅速放下对供应端余量的担忧；同时，一旦航运与保险成本继续波动，原油价格弹性仍可能被重新放大。

　　从节奏上看，原油短线或许会在风险溢价回落与库存收缩之间来回拉锯。若后续数据继续证实供应偏紧，价格中枢未必会明显下移，更多可能表现为震荡中的偏强修复。

　　后市方面，OEXN提到，判断油价是否重新转强，关键还是看库存变化、运力恢复效率以及市场对供应安全边际的重新定价；只要这几项指标没有显著改善，原油仍具备反复走强的条件。

　　参考链接：

　　https：//www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-dips-after-3day-surge-as-traders-watch-gulf-hostilities-us-stock-draw-4725511

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