机构：油价回落或缓和通胀预期

环球市场播报05-25 07:49

　　受美伊和平协议希望的影响，布伦特原油期货跌破每桶100美元。Pepperstone的Chris Weston表示，如果布伦特原油跌向90美元，随着短期通胀预期小幅缓解，且对2027年加息的隐含押注被温和削减，这可能会让风险资产重获生机。该策略师表示，本周通胀预期将面临考验，届时将发布美国核心个人消费支出价格指数（PCE），预计该指数将同比小幅上升。整体PCE通胀率预计为3.8%——几乎达到美联储目标的两倍。油价下跌可能会限制美元对即将公布的数据的反应。“美元头寸已经变得相当紧张，而能源价格下跌推动的通胀预期下降，可能会导致部分美元多头头寸平仓。“

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