CPT Markets:金价上行动能逐步修复

市场资讯05-08

5月8日，国际黄金市场近期获得新的上行驱动力。摩根士丹利发布最新报告，认为尽管地缘环境存在波动，黄金价格仍有望中期攀升至每盎司5200美元附近，反映出大行对避险资产的长期看好。CPT Markets表示，金价短期虽受油价回落与避险情绪缓和影响，但中长期配置逻辑被进一步强化。该机构分析称，本轮反弹的支撑来自多重逻辑共振，包括降息周期临近、央行储备多元化与货币体系演化。　　宏观政策方面，主要央行整体...

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Markets认为，投行陆续上修黄金中长期目标，反映出对实际利率回落与美元偏弱趋势的一致定价。该机构判断，瑞银等大行此前已将远期目标看至每盎司5900美元附近，叠加摩根士丹利新近上调至5200美元，形成对金价的多重支撑。全球央行的购金节奏并未中断，新兴市场储备多元化趋势依然延续。\n　　技术层面看，黄金日线在区间下沿企稳后逐步修复短期均线压力，MACD动能边际改善，KDJ指标自超卖区域抬升，显示空头力量阶段性释放完毕。机构层面亦关注到，亚洲实物金需求保持稳健，ETF持仓数据的边际变化、印度与中东婚庆季实物需求以及COMEX期金交割比率，亦是观察资金面真实态度的关键观察窗口。黄金期权未平仓合约结构、白银金比价的走势以及矿业股相对走势，亦是观察资金面真实态度与市场风险偏好变化的辅助观察点，多维信号交叉验证有助于提升判断质量。\n　　CPT Markets预计，黄金价格短期或在每盎司4500至4900美元区间反复整理，中长期具备向5200美元目标靠拢的潜力。该机构强调，投资者应充分理解贵金属作为跨周期资产的属性，关注实际利率、美元指数与全球避险情绪等关键指标，避免在数据公布前后追涨杀跌，按照自身风险承受能力分批布局，以稳健节奏穿越当前的政策观察窗口。\n\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 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