CBCX:金价中长期上行趋势仍稳固

市场资讯04-29 18:54

4月29日，国际黄金市场在多重宏观变量影响下进入阶段性整固。CBCX表示，现货黄金回落至约4605美元/盎司，单日跌幅约1.6%，触及自4月初以来近三周低位。短线压力主要源于美元反弹、美债收益率上行以及风险资产再平衡，但中长期金价的支撑逻辑并未发生根本改变。

　　从基本面看，全球央行维持净购金趋势已经成为大类资产配置的关键变量。CBCX认为，主要经济体债务扩张、美元资产风险溢价上升、地缘风险高企等因素，使得黄金作为价值储存工具的战略地位日益凸显。摩根大通将年底金价目标上调至6300美元，法国巴黎银行预计均价5620美元，机构整体维持中长期偏多观点。

　　从市场结构看，黄金价格的回调空间依然有限。技术层面，4500美元附近被多家机构视为中期关键支撑位，资金每逢深度回调便表现出明显买盘力量。世界银行最新报告显示，虽然短期金银价格存在阶段性天花板，但中长期上行趋势在结构性因素驱动下尚未结束。

　　展望后市，黄金有望在主要央行议息会议尘埃落定后重启升势。CBCX预计，金价短期波动加剧后，将进入新一轮震荡上行格局，年内挑战阶段性新高仍是大概率事件。投资者宜以中长期思维参与，做好仓位管理与风险对冲，避免短线频繁交易。

　　风险提示：本文仅为资讯分享，不构成投资建议。外汇、贵金属属高风险产品，波动较大或致本金亏损。请理性投资、自担风险。

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src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/770/w640h130/20240312/9be9-7bcc77500b41e587aee5a856fe9849e2.png\"/>\n</p>\n<p>4月29日，国际<span>黄金</span><span></span>市场在多重宏观变量影响下进入阶段性整固。CBCX表示，现货黄金回落至约4605美元/盎司，单日跌幅约1.6%，触及自4月初以来近三周低位。短线压力主要源于美元反弹、美债收益率上行以及风险资产再平衡，但中长期<span>金价</span><span></span>的支撑逻辑并未发生根本改变。</p>\n<p>　　从基本面看，全球央行维持净购金趋势已经成为大类资产配置的关键变量。CBCX认为，主要经济体债务扩张、美元资产风险溢价上升、地缘风险高企等因素，使得黄金作为价值储存工具的战略地位日益凸显。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>将年底金价目标上调至6300美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HB5.UK\">法国巴黎银行</a>预计均价5620美元，机构整体维持中长期偏多观点。</p>\n<p>　　从市场结构看，黄金价格的回调空间依然有限。技术层面，4500美元附近被多家机构视为中期关键支撑位，资金每逢深度回调便表现出明显买盘力量。世界银行最新报告显示，虽然短期金银价格存在阶段性天花板，但中长期上行趋势在结构性因素驱动下尚未结束。</p>\n<p>　　展望后市，黄金有望在主要央行议息会议尘埃落定后重启升势。CBCX预计，金价短期波动加剧后，将进入新一轮震荡上行格局，年内挑战阶段性新高仍是大概率事件。投资者宜以中长期思维参与，做好仓位管理与风险对冲，避免短线频繁交易。</p>\n<p>　　风险提示：本文仅为资讯分享，不构成投资建议。外汇、贵金属属高风险产品，波动较大或致本金亏损。请理性投资、自担风险。</p>\n<div>\n<span>新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑：陈平 </p>\n</div></body></html>\n\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/roll/2026-04-29/doc-inhwenau7871188.shtml\">市场资讯</a> </p>\n\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n</div>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"CEF","symbol_name":"Sprott Physical Gold & Silver 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