51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚： @大道无形我有型这两天一直在想大道...

段永平今天交易了什么04-25

51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。

@波动是友我为锚

：

@大道无形我有型这两天一直在想大道回复泡泡玛特10年后赚到迪士尼今年利润120亿美金的概率是 “51.9%”，看了一下茅台600519今年的利润刚好也是120亿美金，真巧! 大道的回复让人难以琢磨。毛估估泡泡以后的利润会越来越好，具体数字确实很难估计。

04-21 01:13 · 转发 72 · 讨论 72 · 赞

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2630824806?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-04-25 22:58","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2630824806","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚 ： @大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道...","media":"段永平今天交易了什么","content":"<html><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c37510a14c2e6d4080c0ef2e551d25f\"/></p>\n<p>51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。</p>\n<p>@波动是友我为锚</p>\n<p>：</p>\n<p>@大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道回复<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09992\">泡泡玛特</a>10年后赚到<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪士尼</a>今年利润120亿美金的概率是 “51.9%”，看了一下茅台600519今年的利润刚好也是120亿美金，真巧! 大道的回复让人难以琢磨。毛估估泡泡以后的利润会越来越好，具体数字确实很难估计。</p>\n<p>04-21 01:13 · 转发 72 · 讨论 72 · 赞</p></body></html>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚 ： @大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道...</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚 ： @大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道...\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-25 22:58 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xueqiu.com/1247347556/384829259><strong>段永平今天交易...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。\n@波动是友我为锚\n：\n@大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道回复泡泡玛特10年后赚到迪士尼今年利润120亿美金的概率是 “51.9%”，看了一下茅台600519今年的利润刚好也是120亿美金，真巧! 大道的回复让人难以琢磨。毛估估泡泡以后的利润会越来越好，具体数字确实很难估计。\n04-21 01:13 · 转发 72 · 讨论 72 · ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xueqiu.com/1247347556/384829259\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1934453819.USD","symbol_name":"AB CHINA A SHARES EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xueqiu.com/1247347556/384829259","article_id":"2630824806","we_media_id":"1003763968","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2630824806","pubTimestamp":1777129097,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"段永平今天交易了什么","introduction":"段永平雪球发声","home_visible":1,"id":"1003763968","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8f5e7cba3670a5e793ae6a90ab6660f8"},"summary":"51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。\n@波动是友我为锚\n：\n@大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道回复泡泡玛特10年后赚到迪士尼今年利润120亿美金的概率是 “51.9%”，看了一下茅台600519今年的利润刚好也是120亿美金，真巧! 大道的回复让人难以琢磨。毛估估泡泡以后的利润会越来越好，具体数字确实很难估计。\n04-21 01:13 · 转发 72 · 讨论 72 · 赞","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"600519":"贵州茅台","LU1934453819.USD":"AB CHINA A SHARES EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2495084118.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA A-SHARES \"ATH\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU1969619763.USD":"EASTSPRING INV CHINA A SHARES GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1064131003.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - CHINA A EQUITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1497733631.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Low Volatility Equity Fund ASDM SGD","LU0211977185.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GREATER CHINA EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU0251143458.SGD":"Fidelity Emerging Markets A-SGD","LU1997244956.HKD":"ALLIANZ CHINA A-SHARES \"AT\" (HKD) ACC A","SGXZ81163826.USD":"UNITED CHINA A-SHARES INNOVATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0417516902.SGD":"Allianz China Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0405327494.USD":"ALLSPRING CHINA A FOCUS \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1960683339.HKD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV ALL CHINA \"P\" (HKD) ACC","SGXZ49509284.SGD":"United China A Shares Innovation A Acc SGD","BK0175":"白马股","LU2399975544.HKD":"ALLIANZ ALL CHINA EQUITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0516422952.EUR":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA FOCUS EQUITIES \"I\" (EUR) ACC","LU2097828474.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (EUR) ACC A","LU2213484517.USD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON CHINA A-SHARES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2148510915.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - CHINA A EQUITIES \"R\" (USD) ACC","LU0577902538.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Growth and Income Equities A Acc SGD","LU1152091754.HKD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - CHINA OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"PM\" (HKD) INC","LU1820825898.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - China A Share Equity A Acc SGD-H","LU2097828714.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"BAZ\" (EUR) ACC","SG9999000459.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Pacific Equity SGD","BK0196":"行业龙头","LU0359201612.USD":"贝莱德中国基金A2","LU0577902454.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA GROWTH & INCOME EQUITIE \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK0187":"一线龙头","LU1251922891.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1051768304.USD":"贝莱德新兴市场股票收益A6","LU0577902371.SGD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA GROWTH & INCOME EQUITIE \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU0348814723.USD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC  NC","IE00BYV24P56.USD":"GUINNESS EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY INCOME \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)","LU0370786039.SGD":"Fidelity Greater China A-SGD","LU0650527681.SGD":"Fidelity China Consumer A-SGD","LU1008478684.HKD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND -  CHINA OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (HKD) ACC","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","LU0326950275.SGD":"Schroder ISF China Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU2008162690.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS - ASIA PACIFIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0405327148.USD":"ALLSPRING CHINA A FOCUS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1634259391.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Low Volatility Equity Fund AS SGD","LU1226287875.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SEL S-CHINA ALLOCATION OPP \"PM\" (USD) INC","LU0231483743.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - ALL CHINA SUSTAINABLE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK0015":"沪股通50","LU0880133367.SGD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND CHINA OPPORTUNITY USD \"P\" (SGD) ACC","LU0084288322.USD":"Natixis Asia Equity RD USD","LU1769817096.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - GLOBAL EMERG MARKETS OPPO \"P\" (USD) INC","LU1951186391.HKD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SEL CHINA ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY (US \"P\" (HKD) INC"},"translate_title":"51.9% is written at will, meaning more than 50% chance, and has nothing to do with Maotai. @ Fluctuation is a friend and I am an anchor: @ Avenue is invisible and I am stylish. I have been thinking about Avenue for the past two days...","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"600519":1.5},"content_text":"51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。\n@波动是友我为锚\n：\n@大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道回复泡泡玛特10年后赚到迪士尼今年利润120亿美金的概率是 “51.9%”，看了一下茅台600519今年的利润刚好也是120亿美金，真巧! 大道的回复让人难以琢磨。毛估估泡泡以后的利润会越来越好，具体数字确实很难估计。\n04-21 01:13 · 转发 72 · 讨论 72 · 赞","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.1","shortVersion":"4.42.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2630824806","isCrawlerRequest":true}

51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚 ： @大道无形我有型 这两天一直在想大道...

精彩评论

51.9%是随意写的，意思是超过50%的机会，和茅台没关系。 @波动是友我为锚： @大道无形我有型这两天一直在想大道...