从交付疲软到AI愿景：德银如何重新定价特斯拉？

智通财经04-17

4月17日，特斯拉下周将公布财报，德意志银行针对该季度表现、Robotaxi(自动驾驶出租车)业务以及 Terafab 项目，提供了最新的分析观点。对于即将发布的财报，德银预计核心讨论议题将包括：Robotaxi 的部署进展、人形机器人(Optimus V3)的研发进度、Cybercab 的生产计划，以及Terafab项目与资本支出的相关情况。德银将特斯拉目标价小幅从480美元下调至465美元，此...

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查理Mango
04-17
查理Mango
二季度交付绝对爆表

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的生产计划，以及Terafab项目与资本支出的相关情况。德银将特斯拉目标价小幅从480美元下调至465美元，此调整反映了对估值模型及框架所做的细微修正;维持“买入”评级。德银指出，特斯拉一季度交付表现如预期偏软。该行指出，特斯拉2026年第一季度的销量表现，主要反映了此前预期的各类不利因素，但其整体进度仍有望达成德银对全年的销量预测。Q1交付量为 358,023 辆，略低于市场一致预期(365,600 辆)。Model S 和 Model X 车型的有意减产，加之全球范围内电动汽车需求整体疲软，对当季的交付量造成了冲击;尽管如此，欧洲市场的消费者信心似乎已触底回升。其次，德银表示，虽然储能业务板块预计将继续保持增长势头，但第一季度的储能产品部署量仅为 8.8 GWh，远低于市场预期的 14.4 GWh。这一缺口很可能归因于订单交付在时间上的波动性(即“履约的非连续性”)，预计后续季度该数据将呈现环比改善。总体而言，德银测算第一季度的营收约为 207 亿美元，该数据虽较上一季度有所下滑，但实现了同比正增长。该行预计汽车业务的毛利率(剔除碳排放积分收益后)约为 14.7%，较 2025 年第四季度的 17.9% 有所回落;导致这一降幅的主要因素包括：销量下滑，以及公司取消了 FSD(全自动驾驶系统)“一次性全额预付”的购买选项(该政策自 2 月 15 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19:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"从交付疲软到AI愿景：德银如何重新定价特斯拉？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2628270981","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，特斯拉下周将公布财报，德意志银行针对该季度表现、Robotaxi业务以及 Terafab 项目，提供了最新的分析观点。德银将特斯拉目标价小幅从480美元下调至465美元，此调整反映了对估值模型及框架所做的细微修正;维持“买入”评级。德银指出，特斯拉一季度交付表现如预期偏软。该行指出，特斯拉2026年第一季度的销量表现，主要反映了此前预期的各类不利因素，但其整体进度仍有望达成德银对全年的销量预测。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月17日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>下周将公布财报，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>针对该季度表现、Robotaxi(自动驾驶出租车)业务以及 Terafab 项目，提供了最新的分析观点。对于即将发布的财报，德银预计核心讨论议题将包括：Robotaxi 的部署进展、人形机器人(Optimus V3)的研发进度、Cybercab 的生产计划，以及Terafab项目与资本支出的相关情况。德银将特斯拉目标价小幅从480美元下调至465美元，此调整反映了对估值模型及框架所做的细微修正;维持“买入”评级。</p><p>德银指出，特斯拉一季度交付表现如预期偏软。该行指出，特斯拉2026年第一季度的销量表现，主要反映了此前预期的各类不利因素，但其整体进度仍有望达成德银对全年的销量预测。Q1交付量为 358,023 辆，略低于市场一致预期(365,600 辆)。Model S 和 Model X 车型的有意减产，加之全球范围内电动汽车需求整体疲软，对当季的交付量造成了冲击;尽管如此，欧洲市场的消费者信心似乎已触底回升。</p><p>其次，德银表示，虽然储能业务板块预计将继续保持增长势头，但第一季度的储能产品部署量仅为 8.8 GWh，远低于市场预期的 14.4 GWh。这一缺口很可能归因于订单交付在时间上的波动性(即“履约的非连续性”)，预计后续季度该数据将呈现环比改善。总体而言，德银测算第一季度的营收约为 207 亿美元，该数据虽较上一季度有所下滑，但实现了同比正增长。该行预计汽车业务的毛利率(剔除碳排放积分收益后)约为 14.7%，较 2025 年第四季度的 17.9% 有所回落;导致这一降幅的主要因素包括：销量下滑，以及公司取消了 FSD(全自动驾驶系统)“一次性全额预付”的购买选项(该政策自 2 月 15 日起生效)。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>从交付疲软到AI愿景：德银如何重新定价特斯拉？</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1429965.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) 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Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1429965.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2628270981","content_text":"4月17日，特斯拉下周将公布财报，德意志银行针对该季度表现、Robotaxi(自动驾驶出租车)业务以及 Terafab 项目，提供了最新的分析观点。对于即将发布的财报，德银预计核心讨论议题将包括：Robotaxi 的部署进展、人形机器人(Optimus V3)的研发进度、Cybercab 的生产计划，以及Terafab项目与资本支出的相关情况。德银将特斯拉目标价小幅从480美元下调至465美元，此调整反映了对估值模型及框架所做的细微修正;维持“买入”评级。德银指出，特斯拉一季度交付表现如预期偏软。该行指出，特斯拉2026年第一季度的销量表现，主要反映了此前预期的各类不利因素，但其整体进度仍有望达成德银对全年的销量预测。Q1交付量为 358,023 辆，略低于市场一致预期(365,600 辆)。Model S 和 Model X 车型的有意减产，加之全球范围内电动汽车需求整体疲软，对当季的交付量造成了冲击;尽管如此，欧洲市场的消费者信心似乎已触底回升。其次，德银表示，虽然储能业务板块预计将继续保持增长势头，但第一季度的储能产品部署量仅为 8.8 GWh，远低于市场预期的 14.4 GWh。这一缺口很可能归因于订单交付在时间上的波动性(即“履约的非连续性”)，预计后续季度该数据将呈现环比改善。总体而言，德银测算第一季度的营收约为 207 亿美元，该数据虽较上一季度有所下滑，但实现了同比正增长。该行预计汽车业务的毛利率(剔除碳排放积分收益后)约为 14.7%，较 2025 年第四季度的 17.9% 有所回落;导致这一降幅的主要因素包括：销量下滑，以及公司取消了 FSD(全自动驾驶系统)“一次性全额预付”的购买选项(该政策自 2 月 15 日起生效)。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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