机构：油价大幅下跌尚不足以确认持续下行趋势

环球市场播报04-09

　　XS.com分析师Linh Tran表示，近期油价的大幅下跌尚未预示着持续的下行趋势。停火协议后，以色列袭击了贝鲁特和黎巴嫩南部部分地区，此举重新引发了对供应中断的担忧，随着投资者调整预期，油价反弹。然而，Tran表示，当前油价的反弹并不一定反映真正的供应短缺，而主要是由风险溢价的重新引入所驱动。该分析师表示，近月西得州中质油料将保持高度波动和区间震荡，在每桶90-105美元的区间内波动。Tran补充道，油价取决于“中东的紧张局势是会升级为结构性的供应中断风险，还是仅限于短期的心理冲击“。

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