既要Cybercab的梦、也要活下去的量！传特斯拉(TSLA.US)秘研全新紧凑型SUV 兼顾无人驾驶愿景与现实销量

智通财经04-09

智通财经APP获悉，据四位知情人士透露，特斯拉(TSLA.US)正在研发一款全新的、尺寸更小、价格更亲民的电动SUV。据称，特斯拉近期已与供应商展开接触，商讨这款紧凑型SUV的计划细节。该车型是一款全新产品，并非特斯拉现有Model 3或Model Y的衍生车型。双方讨论内容涉及制造流程以及各类零部件的规格要求。其中三位消息人士称，这款紧凑型SUV将在中国生产，另一位则表示特斯拉还计划将生产扩大至...

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Tesla (TSLA.US) is rumored to secretly research a new compact SUV that balances driverless vision with realistic sales","themeId":"61687cd671b02c9ef02a1552a8f8d899","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a371c21f39e7c518a8c2b87be3e3c4","symbols_score_info":{"TSLI":0.6,"TEST":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"META":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"GOOG":0.6,"TSLA":1.98,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"NVDA":0.6,"AAPL":0.6,"TLA":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"MSFT":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"AMZN":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLP":0.6},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，据四位知情人士透露，特斯拉(TSLA.US)正在研发一款全新的、尺寸更小、价格更亲民的电动SUV。据称，特斯拉近期已与供应商展开接触，商讨这款紧凑型SUV的计划细节。该车型是一款全新产品，并非特斯拉现有Model 3或Model Y的衍生车型。双方讨论内容涉及制造流程以及各类零部件的规格要求。其中三位消息人士称，这款紧凑型SUV将在中国生产，另一位则表示特斯拉还计划将生产扩大至美国和欧洲。两位消息人士透露，该车长度为4.28米(约14英尺)，明显短于特斯拉最畅销的Model Y SUV，后者长度约为15.7英尺。据了解，特斯拉首席执行官埃隆・马斯克曾在2024年决定取消备受期待的低成本电动汽车项目，转而将公司重心投向自动驾驶出租车和人形机器人领域。目前关键问题在于，此次研发小型SUV的举措，究竟是标志着特斯拉战略重回面向大众市场的有人驾驶电动汽车，还是这款新车型将更契合其完全自动驾驶汽车的愿景。据一位了解新车项目的人士以及一位熟知特斯拉当前产品理念的员工称，这样一款车型有可能同时服务于这两个目标。这位特斯拉员工既未证实也未否认任何具体车型的细节，但总体表示，特斯拉目前的目标是打造可实现无人驾驶，但同时也提供有人驾驶选项的车型。该人士还指出，尽管特斯拉致力于全系车型实现完全自动驾驶，但也意识到，全球许多市场在未来数年内仍无法大规模接受或法规上认可无人驾驶车辆。因此，保留某款车型是否配备驾驶控制装置的选项，有助于增加销量，并确保特斯拉的汽车工厂维持接近满产状态。在特斯拉追逐无人驾驶未来的同时，一些分析师预测，为其带来绝大部分收入的传统电动汽车，将连续第三年出现销量下滑。截至目前，特斯拉仅在得克萨斯州奥斯汀运营少量自动驾驶出租车，其中许多车辆的副驾驶座位上还配备有人类安全员。特斯拉未对有关新车型计划的置评请求作出回应。四位了解该项目的人士均表示，该项目仍处于早期开发阶段。目前无法确定特斯拉是否已批准这款汽车投入生产。特斯拉在产品开发方面，向来有项目长期延迟或最终取消的历史。例如，特斯拉在2017年展示了Roadster超级跑车和Semi半挂卡车的概念车型，但至今尚未量产该跑车，Semi也未实现大规模生产。两位消息人士称，特斯拉计划为这款新车型设定的售价，将大幅低于其入门级Model 3。Model 3在中国的起售价为3.4万美元，在美国约为3.7万美元。他们还表示，特斯拉计划通过使用容量较小的电池来降低成本，这意味着其续航里程将比Model Y的306-327英里更短。其中一位人士补充道，特斯拉还将为这款车配备单电机，而非当前车型的双电机性能配置选项。该人士称，特斯拉还希望将车身重量大幅降低至约1.5吨，相比之下，Model Y约为2吨。三位消息人士表示，这款新车型将在特斯拉上海工厂生产。尽管具体时间尚不确定，但今年不太可能开始生产。特斯拉在平价电动汽车领域的反复历程自2008年特斯拉开始生产豪华电动汽车后的数年里，马斯克一直表示，公司的真正使命是生产价格亲民、面向大众市场的电动汽车，这对于应对气候危机至关重要。然而，迄今为止，为实现这一目标所做的努力时断时续，至今未能如愿。从2020年起，马斯克宣称特斯拉的目标是到本十年末，每年销售2000万辆汽车，几乎是目前全球销量领先的丰田汽车(TM.US)销量的两倍。马斯克大力宣扬的一款售价2.5万美元的电动汽车项目，常被特斯拉粉丝和投资者称为“Model 2”，原本预计将推动汽车销量爆发式增长。但在2024年有报道称特斯拉已放弃Model 2计划，不过仍打算在同一平台上开发无人驾驶出租车。当时，特斯拉在中国的主要电动汽车竞争对手已开始生产价格更低的车型。同年晚些时候，马斯克表示，对于特斯拉而言，生产一款面向有人驾驶的2.5万美元电动汽车“毫无意义”且“愚蠢”，因为公司很快将推出无人驾驶汽车。一位前特斯拉经理表示，一款全新的廉价传统汽车，将与特斯拉在2025年年中之前的理念存在显著差异。该经理称，在此之前，特斯拉已放弃大规模生产入门级汽车的努力，转而将无人驾驶出租车视为降低乘客每英里出行成本以及车主充电成本的关键。在取消Model 2计划后，马斯克和其他特斯拉高管曾含糊地描述过新型“更实惠”电动汽车的不同计划。然而，去年秋季推出的车型，只是当前Model 3和Model Y的精简版，以新的“标准”配置级别推出，仅提供适度的折扣。Model 3标准续航版在美国的售价为36990美元，Model Y为39990美元，一些投资者认为这个价格过高，难以吸引新的消费群体，且对特斯拉的整体销量尚未产生显著影响。无人驾驶Cybercab能否如期推进?在公开场合，马斯克和特斯拉持续强调无人驾驶出租车和人形机器人计划，这有效地维持了特斯拉令人瞩目的市值。特斯拉的市值约为1.3万亿美元，远远超过其财务基本面所应支撑的水平，即便与其他高估值科技同行相比亦是如此。去年，投资者批准了一项薪酬方案，根据一系列产品和财务目标，马斯克最多可获得1万亿美元的特斯拉股票。特斯拉目前表示，计划于本月开始生产一款双门Cybercab无人驾驶出租车，该车型于2024年首次作为概念车亮相，没有踏板和方向盘。但目前尚不清楚这款车何时上市销售，或何时能在特斯拉运营的无人驾驶出租车车队中投入使用。美国国家公路交通安全管理局的一位发言人表示，特斯拉尚未申请销售无方向盘和踏板车辆所需的联邦豁免。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"productRelease","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2626184946","isCrawlerRequest":true}