干翻字节Seedance 2.0！神秘“快乐小马”模型引全网竞猜

智东西04-08

作者 | 杨京丽编辑 | 李水青智东西4月8日报道，上周，AI视频生成领域盲测平台Artificial Analysis的榜首出现了一个匿名模型——HappyHorse（快乐小马），该模型在文生视频和图生视频两条赛道的无音频类别中同时登顶，将此前霸榜的字节跳动Seedance 2.0挤到了第二位。截至目前，没有任何公司或团队公开认领这个模型。外网社区围绕“它到底是谁”展开了激烈猜测，网友普遍认为...

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Mysterious \"Happy Pony\" Model Leads to Whole Network Quiz","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BABX":0.6,"AIPO":0.87,"AGIX":0.87,"AIYY":0.6,"KBAB":0.6,"09988":1.82,"ALBmain":0.6,"AI":0.87,"BABU":0.6,"BABW":0.6,"BBYY":0.6,"BABO":0.6,"BABA":1.82,"ARTY":0.87,"CHAT":0.87},"content_text":"作者 | 杨京丽编辑 | 李水青智东西4月8日报道，上周，AI视频生成领域盲测平台Artificial Analysis的榜首出现了一个匿名模型——HappyHorse（快乐小马），该模型在文生视频和图生视频两条赛道的无音频类别中同时登顶，将此前霸榜的字节跳动Seedance 2.0挤到了第二位。截至目前，没有任何公司或团队公开认领这个模型。外网社区围绕“它到底是谁”展开了激烈猜测，网友普遍认为HappyHorse出自中国团队，阿里万相、阿里淘天、可灵、Sand.ai都被列为嫌疑对象。一、榜单成绩：无音频双冠，有音频紧咬Seedance 2.0Artificial Analysis是目前AI视频生成领域最具公信力的盲测平台之一，其评测采用Bradley-Terry模型的Elo评分系统。用户在完全不知道模型身份的情况下，对同一提示词生成的两段视频进行盲评选优，最终通过最大似然估计拟合Elo分数，95%置信区间通过1000次bootstrap重采样计算。HappyHorse 1.0在该平台榜单上的表现如下：在纯视频质量的比拼中，HappyHorse全面领先。文生视频（无音频）榜上，它以1349的分数排名第一，第二名Seedance2.0为1273。文生视频（无音频）榜单（图源：Artificial Analysis）图生视频（无音频）榜的情况类似，HappyHorse以1403的分数高居榜首，领先Seedance 2.0达48分。图生视频（无音频）榜单（图源：Artificial Analysis）在有音频的两个榜单上，Seedance 2.0仍以微弱优势保持领先，但差距极小。文生视频两者差距仅11分，图生视频仅有1分差距。文生视频（有音频）榜单（图源：Artificial Analysis）文生视频（有音频）榜单（图源：Artificial Analysis）需要指出的是，HappyHorse的对比样本量约为3500次，远低于Seedance 2.0的7500次，这意味着它上榜时间很短，95%置信区间偏宽（±12~13分）。但即便考虑置信区间，其在无音频赛道上的领先优势仍然稳固。二、全网猜猜猜：“快乐小马”出自阿里、快手，还是？HappyHorse引发的最大讨论不是技术，而是身份。网友Brent Lynch率先在X平台发帖猜测：“HappyHorse到底是谁？是不是阿里万相Wan 2.7？一个全新的神秘AI视频模型突然出现在Artificial Analysis排行榜上，有V1和V2两个变体。它看起来肯定来自亚洲。如果真是Wan 2.7的话，那相比2.6是一个巨大的飞跃。”另外，他觉得该模型“并不算Seedance 2.0的杀手”，“水平更接近近期的可灵”。网友对于HappyHorse的猜测（图源：X）还有传言说，HappyHorse是阿里淘天团队未来生活实验室张迪团队做的。张迪目前是阿里淘天集团未来生活实验室的负责人，聚焦多模态大模型等前沿技术。此前，他曾在2010年加入阿里巴巴，担任资深技术专家，后于2020年加入快手，担任技术副总裁。2023年初，张迪被任命为大模型与多媒体技术团队负责人。2024年起，作为技术负责人，他牵头可灵AI的底层架构研发与应用落地。2025年4月，张迪作为快手副总裁、可灵AI负责人发布了可灵2.0大师版。2025年9月初，张迪加入哔哩哔哩担任技术条线负责人，但一个多月后即离开。2025年11月，张迪又重返阿里巴巴。网友对于HappyHorse的猜测（图源：X）另外还有网友说，该模型可能是Sand.ai的daVinci-MagiHuman，参数都对的上。Sand.ai2023年在北京成立，由Swin Transformer第一作者曹越创立，其联合创始人张拯同为Swin Transformer作者，二人均出自微软亚洲研究院，论文引用量合计超过11万次。该公司已完成近6000万美元融资，此前发布过全球首个自回归视频生成模型Magi-1，被业界称为“AI视频界的DeepSeek”。网友对于HappyHorse的猜测（图源：X）总之，大家对于HappyHorse归属的猜测众说纷纭，究竟出自哪家，各有各的观点。但从名字上判断，网友普遍认为，HappyHorse出自中国团队。三、产品现状：套壳网站层出不穷HappyHorse官方使用入口尚未确认。Artificial Analysis排行榜上的盲测成绩由平台官方确认属实，但模型本身没有公开的API，也没有可供体验的Demo页面。然而，围绕这个名字的商业化动作已经快人一步。目前发现大量以“HappyHorse AI”为名的第三方网站，提供付费视频生成服务或技术展示页面。网友对于HappyHorse套壳网站的猜测（图源：X）经查，这些网站存在明显的套壳特征：域名注册时间集中在2026年4月初，注册人信息均被隐私服务遮蔽；其中部分站点在页脚注明“本平台提供模型访问服务，并非原始开发者”。部分网站展示的技术参数和英文描述，与已开源的模型一致，可能也是抄袭的。可以说，在HappyHorse的真实开发者尚未现身之前，SEO玩家们已经抢先一步把流量生意做了起来。结语：“快乐小马”，一匹等待认领的黑马HappyHorse目前唯一经过验证的信息，是它在Artificial Analysis盲测中的成绩。除此之外，没有代码仓库，没有团队署名，甚至连一个可信的官方网站都没有。但正因如此，它的身份才格外值得关注。围绕它的猜测覆盖了从大厂到创业公司，究竟是哪家的AI视频荣登榜首，需要等后续模型发布见真章。2026年的AI视频生成赛道已经进入密集交锋期。字节Seedance 2.0、快手Kling 3.0、Google Veo 3轮番迭代，一匹不知从哪里跑来的“快乐小马”突然冲到最前面，无论它最终被证明是谁家的马，这场比赛都变得更好看了。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2625379945","isCrawlerRequest":true}