月亏41%仍加码！原油空头9.77亿美元豪赌伊朗战事即将结束

智通财经04-02

智通财经APP获悉，尽管截至目前，多数原油空头头寸已损失惨重，但目前正有一批交易员大举加杠杆，押注地缘冲突推高的油价将大幅跳水。数据显示，3月，ETF投资者向2倍做空彭博原油ETF-ProShares(SCO.US)投入了9.77亿美元资金——其中既有逆势新建的空单，也有交易者对原有头寸的“加倍补仓”，创下该基金2008年成立以来单月资金流入最高纪录。SCO的设计目标是实现原油每日价格波动两倍的...

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Crude oil shorts gamble $977 million on the coming end of the war in Iran","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3952af516196222046e9416a27b9df57","symbols_score_info":{"UCO":1.5,"DDG":0.6,"MCLmain":1.5,"OILU":1.5,"DBO":1.5,"SCO":1.5,"BZmain":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"CLmain":1.5,"XOP":1.5,"USO":1.5,"OIH":1.5,"OILT":1.5,"QMmain":1.5,"VDE":1.5,"DUG":1.5},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，尽管截至目前，多数原油空头头寸已损失惨重，但目前正有一批交易员大举加杠杆，押注地缘冲突推高的油价将大幅跳水。数据显示，3月，ETF投资者向2倍做空彭博原油ETF-ProShares(SCO.US)投入了9.77亿美元资金——其中既有逆势新建的空单，也有交易者对原有头寸的“加倍补仓”，创下该基金2008年成立以来单月资金流入最高纪录。SCO的设计目标是实现原油每日价格波动两倍的反向收益。尽管资金流入创历史新高，该基金当前总资产仅为9.7亿美元，甚至低于当月净流入总额。Asym 500创始人Rocky Fishman直言：“这是一笔押注‘战事很快结束’的交易。”周二，在特朗普再次释放可能结束伊朗战事信号后，该基金单日暴涨8%。但即便如此，3月该ETF仍累计下跌41%，创下近六年来最差月度表现。与之形成鲜明对比的是，其追踪的基准指数同期大涨25%。3月，布伦特原油一度触及每桶119美元，4月初回落至约102美元，但仍远高于2月底72美元的收盘价。即便停火，做空交易者未必能解困。据估计，霍尔木兹海峡实际受阻已影响全球约五分之一原油供应。分析师指出，由于油轮航线重新规划、现货市场重新调整，油价可能在未来数月内持续高企——这意味着，做空押注需要的不仅是局势缓和，还需快速恢复正常，而这恰恰是鲜有人预期的局面。尽管市场对局势可能缓和抱有乐观情绪，但本周袭击事件仍在持续。一艘油轮在卡塔尔附近遭到袭击，英国海军方面表示，袭击引发火灾但已被扑灭。不过，看空押注只是市场的一面。看多资金同样创下纪录——美国原油ETF(USO.US)3月吸引了约7亿美元资金，为疫情以来最大单月流入;美国布伦特原油基金(BNO.US)则吸纳了6亿美元，创下历史新高。其结果是市场分化加剧，杠杆资金在冲突走势难以预料的背景下，分别押注于多空两侧。Strategas Securities首席ETF策略师Todd Sohn表示：“我认为流入SCO的资金反映了多种因素，包括押注油价反转的方向性交易，以及对冲和套利行为。尤其是在这类特殊基金成为‘市场焦点’时，这种情况往往会出现。”与此同时，Fishman认为，尽管部分ETF需求可能源于做空造市等技术因素，但3月的资金流向，主要反映的是纯粹的方向性押注。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2624952842","isCrawlerRequest":true}