特斯拉(TSLA.US)汽车业务承压成“新常态”，市场不再看销量只等马斯克“下一个PPT”

智通财经网04-02

智通财经APP注意到，尽管马斯克非常希望将特斯拉(TSLA.US)的未来押注在 AI 上，但他仍然需要通过销售汽车来为这些雄心壮志筹集资金——而汽车业务正变得愈发艰难。根据对分析师的调查，特斯拉在过去三个月中可能交付了约 372,160 辆汽车。虽然这一数字比去年同期增长了约 11%，但仍处于该公司近期季度总量的较低水平。去年早些时候的销售受到了多重因素的影响：一是马斯克在特朗普政府任职期间引发...

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而导致的生产暂停。分析师预计，销量将远低于这家电动汽车制造商近几年的峰值季度水平，当时特斯拉的交付量一度接近 50 万辆。随着全球电动汽车需求减弱，以及美国市场目前缺乏针对插电式汽车的联邦税务激励，特斯拉正越来越多地将重心转向人工智能、自动驾驶和机器人领域，销量增长放缓可能成为特斯拉的“新常态”。特斯拉今年的开局交付可能比较缓慢特斯拉还正在逐步淘汰低产量的豪华电动车型  Model S 和 Model X，这进一步缩小了其日益老化的产品线，而其面临的全球竞争对手却在不断增加。Deepwater 资产管理公司执行合伙人吉恩·蒙斯特表示，“如果他们能证明在没有税收抵免的情况下，数据依然保持稳定——至少在交付量上他们能做到——我认为那就是一场胜利，”蒙斯特指出，投资者将关注这一时期的数据，以衡量在没有这些税务激励的情况下需求究竟如何。今年年初，特斯拉在欧洲的销量已趋于平稳，尽管仍处于低位。在中国市场，其开局则大有改观，根据乘联会(CPCA)的初步数据，其上海工厂 2 月份的出口量激增了  91%。对马斯克未来业务计划的热情曾推动特斯拉股价在 12 月创下历史新高，随后在今年年初回吐了部分涨幅。投资者正日益倾向于忽视汽车销量数据，转而优先考虑特斯拉在无人驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)、Cybercab 以及 Optimus  机器人项目上取得进展的迹象。只要电动汽车业务能够保持稳定或温和增长，足以支撑马斯克日益增长的人工智能雄心，它就是有益的。CFRA 股票研究高级副总裁加勒特·尼尔森表示，他正关注该公司是否能够兑现那些雄心勃勃的产品和时间表。他还在观察特斯拉增加资本支出的计划。“重点不在于交付量，而在于更宏观的层面，比如 Terafab  的发布，以及特斯拉正在展开的这场‘开支狂潮’，”尼尔森说，“对这种支出爆炸式增长的担忧，确实在影响着市场对该公司的情绪。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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