“战时买黄金”不管用？专家揭露“底层逻辑”：避险地位并未动摇

格隆汇03-26

3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及高盛前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。他在最新发表的一篇文章中解释道：目前市场上流传着三种理论。首先，战前贵金属价格的疯狂上涨无疑吸引了大量此前从未交易过黄金等贵金属的散户投资者。可以合理推测，更广泛的投资者群体可能会改变贵金属的交易方式，使其...

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三千旗得圣
03-26
三千旗得圣
再避险的资产，过高了，超过了本身价值，那一样也有风险

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Experts expose \"underlying logic\": risk-off status has not been shaken","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1.5,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GDX":1.5,"QOmain":1.5,"DUST":1.5,"GDXJ":1.5,"1OZmain":1.5,"GLD":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"PALL":1.5,"DZZ":1.5,"IAUM":1.5,"XME":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5,"GLL":1.5,"DGP":1.5,"JDST":1.5,"IAUI":1.5,"SGUmain":0.6,"JNUG":1.5,"SGCmain":0.6,"IAU":1.5,"SGOL":1.5,"GDXD":1.5,"GLTR":1.5,"AAAU":1.5,"GCmain":1.5},"content_text":"3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及高盛前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。他在最新发表的一篇文章中解释道：目前市场上流传着三种理论。首先，战前贵金属价格的疯狂上涨无疑吸引了大量此前从未交易过黄金等贵金属的散户投资者。可以合理推测，更广泛的投资者群体可能会改变贵金属的交易方式，使其表现得更像风险资产而非避险资产。这与油价飙升时黄金价格下跌，以及最近一两天因市场预期缓和而反弹的现象相符。”第二种普遍观点认为，在2025年末和今年年初贵金属价格大幅上涨之后，许多投资者持有的贵金属头寸已经获得了丰厚的收益。不确定性的增加会让人想要获利了结，所以人们——合情合理地——可能锁定了部分收益。第三种解释认为，整体市场波动加剧导致其他仓位，尤其是对冲基金的仓位出现亏损。这种情况意味着人们会收到追加保证金通知，而他们需要流动性来应对。这可能会导致他们出售盈利仓位以释放现金。黄金就是其中之一。但整体而言，Brooks认为，这些因素都不会动摇黄金的避险地位，也不会否定此前支撑金价的贬值交易。他写道：“这些因素确实表明买家群体可能已经扩大，这也是我们现在看到金价出现异常波动的原因。”\n\n美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>\n\r\n            责任编辑：栎树","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":546713393399864,"gmtCreate":1774499673465,"gmtModify":1774499675852,"author":{"id":"3579578747431012","authorId":"3579578747431012","name":"三千旗得圣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664c781fd79be1ae71127ad68a835035","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3579578747431012","idStr":"3579578747431012"},"htmlText":"再避险的资产，过高了，超过了本身价值，那一样也有风险","listText":"再避险的资产，过高了，超过了本身价值，那一样也有风险","text":"再避险的资产，过高了，超过了本身价值，那一样也有风险","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546713393399864","repostId":2622804748,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2622804748","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1774496718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2622804748?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-26 11:45","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"“战时买黄金”不管用？专家揭露“底层逻辑”：避险地位并未动摇","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2622804748","media":"格隆汇","summary":"3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及高盛前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。这与油价飙升时黄金价格下跌，以及最近一两天因市场预期缓和而反弹的现象相符。但整体而言，Brooks认为，这些因素都不会动摇黄金的避险地位，也不会否定此前支撑金价的贬值交易。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。他在最新发表的一篇文章中解释道：</p><p>目前市场上流传着三种理论。首先，战前贵金属价格的疯狂上涨无疑吸引了大量此前从未交易过<span>黄金</span>等贵金属的散户投资者。可以合理推测，更广泛的投资者群体可能会改变贵金属的交易方式，使其表现得更像风险资产而非避险资产。这与油价飙升时黄金价格下跌，以及最近一两天因市场预期缓和而反弹的现象相符。”</p><p>第二种普遍观点认为，在2025年末和今年年初贵金属价格大幅上涨之后，许多投资者持有的贵金属头寸已经获得了丰厚的收益。不确定性的增加会让人想要获利了结，所以人们——合情合理地——可能锁定了部分收益。</p><p>第三种解释认为，整体市场波动加剧导致其他仓位，尤其是对冲基金的仓位出现亏损。这种情况意味着人们会收到追加保证金通知，而他们需要流动性来应对。这可能会导致他们出售盈利仓位以释放现金。黄金就是其中之一。</p><p>但整体而言，Brooks认为，这些因素都不会动摇黄金的避险地位，也不会否定此前支撑金价的贬值交易。他写道：“这些因素确实表明买家群体可能已经扩大，这也是我们现在看到金价出现异常波动的原因。”</p>\n<div>\n<p>美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅&gt;&gt;</p>\n<div>\r\n            责任编辑：栎树\r\n          </div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"jinrongjie_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“战时买黄金”不管用？专家揭露“底层逻辑”：避险地位并未动摇\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-26 11:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2026/03/26114556476505.shtml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及高盛前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。他在最新发表的一篇文章中解释道：目前市场上流传着三种理论。首先，战前贵金属价格的疯狂上涨无疑吸引了大量此前从未交易过黄金等贵金属的散户投资者。可以合理推测，更广泛的投资者群体可能会改变贵金属的交易方式，使其...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2026/03/26114556476505.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159831":"黄金","159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","DGP":"二倍做多黄金ETN(PowerShares)","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","GDXJ":"小型黄金矿业ETF(Market Vectors)","PALL":"abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","BK4588":"碎股","SGOL":"Abrdn Gold ETF Trust","GLTR":"abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF","DZZ":"德银黄金两倍做空ETN","BK4207":"综合性银行","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR","JNUG":"金矿指数二倍做多ETF","GLL":"2倍做空黄金ETF-ProShares","GDXD":"MicroSectors Gold Miners -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","AAAU":"Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF","JDST":"金矿指数二倍做空ETF","XME":"金属与采矿指数ETF-SPDR","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","IAUM":"ISHARES GOLD TRUST MICRO","IAUI":"NEOS Gold High Income ETF"},"source_url":"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2026/03/26114556476505.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2622804748","content_text":"3月26日，布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、国际金融研究所前首席经济学家及高盛前首席外汇策略师Brooks周三表示，自美伊冲突开始以来，贵金属价格走势的真正驱动因素是近期金属市场散户交易者的大幅增长。他在最新发表的一篇文章中解释道：目前市场上流传着三种理论。首先，战前贵金属价格的疯狂上涨无疑吸引了大量此前从未交易过黄金等贵金属的散户投资者。可以合理推测，更广泛的投资者群体可能会改变贵金属的交易方式，使其表现得更像风险资产而非避险资产。这与油价飙升时黄金价格下跌，以及最近一两天因市场预期缓和而反弹的现象相符。”第二种普遍观点认为，在2025年末和今年年初贵金属价格大幅上涨之后，许多投资者持有的贵金属头寸已经获得了丰厚的收益。不确定性的增加会让人想要获利了结，所以人们——合情合理地——可能锁定了部分收益。第三种解释认为，整体市场波动加剧导致其他仓位，尤其是对冲基金的仓位出现亏损。这种情况意味着人们会收到追加保证金通知，而他们需要流动性来应对。这可能会导致他们出售盈利仓位以释放现金。黄金就是其中之一。但整体而言，Brooks认为，这些因素都不会动摇黄金的避险地位，也不会否定此前支撑金价的贬值交易。他写道：“这些因素确实表明买家群体可能已经扩大，这也是我们现在看到金价出现异常波动的原因。”\n\n美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>\n\r\n            责任编辑：栎树","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1.5,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GDX":1.5,"QOmain":1.5,"DUST":1.5,"GDXJ":1.5,"1OZmain":1.5,"GLD":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"PALL":1.5,"DZZ":1.5,"IAUM":1.5,"XME":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5,"GLL":1.5,"DGP":1.5,"JDST":1.5,"IAUI":1.5,"SGUmain":0.6,"JNUG":1.5,"SGCmain":0.6,"IAU":1.5,"SGOL":1.5,"GDXD":1.5,"GLTR":1.5,"AAAU":1.5,"GCmain":1.5}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; 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