动用黄金储备！土耳其里拉保卫战升级，拟开启金汇兑换应对战争冲击

华尔街见闻03-24

美伊战争冲击土耳其汇率稳定，央行扩充干预工具箱，黄金储备或成最后防线。周二，彭博社援引知情人士透露，土耳其央行正筹备一套更广泛的工具以应对伊朗冲突引发的汇率波动，其中包括动用庞大的黄金储备。土耳其央行已就在伦敦市场开展黄金换外汇掉期交易展开内部讨论，并可能将存放于英格兰银行的黄金用于外汇干预。伊朗冲突爆发以来，国际油价从约70美元/桶飙升至逾100美元/桶。土耳其几乎完全依赖进口石油和天然气，面临...

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Turkish Lira Defense War Escalates, Plans to Open Gold Exchange Exchange to Cope with the Impact of the War","themeId":"8219fe37175eff07e30c190ba2c649b6","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adc078266746a667f14fc5531e61a227","symbols_score_info":{"159831":1.5,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"SGOL":1.5,"GLD":0.6,"JNUG":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5,"IAUM":1.5,"SGUmain":0.6,"PALL":1.5,"GLL":1.5,"GDXD":1.5,"GDXJ":1.5,"XME":1.5,"QOmain":1.5,"GCmain":1.5,"SGCmain":0.6,"DUST":1.5,"1OZmain":1.5,"DGP":1.5,"NUGT":0.6,"DZZ":1.5,"AAAU":1.5},"content_text":"美伊战争冲击土耳其汇率稳定，央行扩充干预工具箱，黄金储备或成最后防线。周二，彭博社援引知情人士透露，土耳其央行正筹备一套更广泛的工具以应对伊朗冲突引发的汇率波动，其中包括动用庞大的黄金储备。土耳其央行已就在伦敦市场开展黄金换外汇掉期交易展开内部讨论，并可能将存放于英格兰银行的黄金用于外汇干预。伊朗冲突爆发以来，国际油价从约70美元/桶飙升至逾100美元/桶。土耳其几乎完全依赖进口石油和天然气，面临严峻的通胀冲击与国际收支压力。目前该国通胀率高达31.5%，位居全球前列，政府正艰难维系以里拉实际升值为核心的抗通胀策略。截至发稿，土耳其里拉兑美元下跌0.1%。今年以来，里拉每日平均贬值幅度约为0.05%，跌势持续而稳定。先抛美债、再加息、最后动黄金？过去十年，土耳其是全球最积极的黄金买家之一，其领导层长期致力于降低对美元资产的依赖。截至3月初，土耳其央行黄金储备规模约合1350亿美元。摩根大通经济学家Fatih Akcelik在周二的报告中指出，土耳其估计在英格兰银行存有约300亿美元的黄金，该部分资产\"无需面对后勤层面的制约，央行可直接决定用于外汇干预\"。这一特点使存放于伦敦的黄金成为土耳其最具可操作性的紧急储备资产。在诉诸黄金储备之前，土耳其政策层已陆续启用多项应对手段。当局通过收紧流动性抬高里拉融资成本，并指令国有银行入市干预汇率。与此同时，土耳其央行持续抛售所持外国政府债券，包括美债。据知情人士估计，过去数周相关出售规模约达160亿美元。截至1月底，土耳其持有的美国国债已降至不足170亿美元，远低于2015年820亿美元的峰值。利率层面，土耳其基准利率维持在37%，但央行于3月初暂停通过该利率窗口提供资金，转而使用成本更高、利率为40%的融资渠道。市场利率预期也随之大幅波动，交易员目前已将下月加息100个基点纳入定价。外资撤离，民间美元需求升温压力信号已在多个层面显现。据土耳其央行周一公布的数据，截至3月13日当周，境外投资者抛售土耳其政府债券的速度创有记录以来最快。街头层面同样出现紧张迹象。本周伊斯坦布尔大巴扎的货币兑换商以高于银行间汇率的价格出售美元，反映出本地居民对硬通货的需求明显升温。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.38.0","shortVersion":"4.38.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2621061533","isCrawlerRequest":true}