创三年多来新高！美国柴油重回5美元时代，“经济命脉”再度面临严峻通胀压力

智通财经03-17

智通财经APP获悉，由于伊朗战争持续扰乱供应，美国柴油价格自2022年12月以来首次超过每加仑5美元，给美国广大地区带来了进一步的压力。据美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据，周一全美汽油平均零售价达到每加仑5.044美元，自冲突爆发以来价格大幅上涨。由于霍尔木兹海峡实际上仍然对航运关闭，战争几乎切断了波斯湾的燃料、原油、天然气和化肥供应。柴油是美国货运、农业和建筑业的命脉，零售价格的任何上涨都会对整体...

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American diesel fuel returns to the $5 era, and the \"economic lifeblood\" is facing severe inflationary pressure again","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"XOP":0.73,"AAA":1,"HOmain":0.9,"GSX":0.6,"DUG":0.6},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，由于伊朗战争持续扰乱供应，美国柴油价格自2022年12月以来首次超过每加仑5美元，给美国广大地区带来了进一步的压力。据美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据，周一全美汽油平均零售价达到每加仑5.044美元，自冲突爆发以来价格大幅上涨。由于霍尔木兹海峡实际上仍然对航运关闭，战争几乎切断了波斯湾的燃料、原油、天然气和化肥供应。柴油是美国货运、农业和建筑业的命脉，零售价格的任何上涨都会对整体经济产生连锁反应。由于波斯湾炼油厂是柴油的主要供应地，其价格上涨速度远超其他大多数石油产品。在美国一些州，柴油价格已经超过每加仑5美元。据美国能源信息署称，与柴油基本可以互换的家用取暖油价格也已攀升至每加仑5美元以上。对于美国总统特朗普而言，燃油价格的持续上涨可能会影响今年晚些时候的中期选举前景。此前，高盛也警告称，中东战争引发的有史以来最大的石油市场冲击，对航空燃油和柴油等产品的影响将大于对原油的影响。高盛分析师Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby和Daan Struyven在一份报告中指出： “许多成品油价格的涨幅远超原油价格。”他们表示，所谓中重质原油供应的严重中断可能导致柴油、航空煤油和燃料油产量下降。高盛分析师表示，“没有任何产品或地区能够完全幸免”。他们指出，战争正在削弱波斯湾产油国出口成品油的能力，导致炼油厂停产，并大幅削减了最适合生产柴油等燃料的原油供应。他们表示：“波斯湾典型的原油出口中，近60%是中质和重质原油(通常用于生产航空燃油、柴油和燃料油)，而中东以外的替代生产商则少得多。”柴油价格飙升将直接推高运费，这意味着即便美国核心CPI中某些商品价格在下跌，其最终零售价也会因运输成本被动抬升。而且能源价格的上涨通常滞后1-3个月传导至机票和核心服务领域。高盛预计，到今年年中，机票价格同比涨幅可能高达 10%-15%。能源价格持续攀升及冲突引发的通胀压力，显著削弱了市场对美联储及其他主要央行降息的预期。市场交易员普遍预期，本周美联储会议上降息的概率已接近于零。CME美联储观察工具”显示交易员普遍预测今年仅降息一次，且大幅后移至9月而不是此前预期的上半年。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2620444712","isCrawlerRequest":true}