存储芯片短缺或持续至2030年！三星工会酝酿史上最大规模罢工〡明日线索

21世纪经济报道03-17

明日线索　　1、存储芯片丨SK集团董事长：存储芯片短缺或持续至2030年　　据财联社，当地时间周二（3月17日），韩国SK集团董事长崔泰源在美国加州圣何塞举行的英伟达GTC大会上表示，由于芯片生产存在系统性瓶颈，他预计全球内存芯片短缺的情况很可能会持续到2030年。　　与此同时，他预计DRAM、NAND和HBM等各类存储芯片的价格将持续上涨，涨势可能会持续较长时间。　　东方证券表示，AI需求引领，...

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Samsung Labor Union Brewing the Largest Strike in History.Clues for Tomorrow","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SSNLF":1.91,"VGT":0.67,"NVD":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"DUG":0.77,"NVDS":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6},"content_text":"明日线索　　1、存储芯片丨SK集团董事长：存储芯片短缺或持续至2030年　　据财联社，当地时间周二（3月17日），韩国SK集团董事长崔泰源在美国加州圣何塞举行的英伟达GTC大会上表示，由于芯片生产存在系统性瓶颈，他预计全球内存芯片短缺的情况很可能会持续到2030年。　　与此同时，他预计DRAM、NAND和HBM等各类存储芯片的价格将持续上涨，涨势可能会持续较长时间。　　东方证券表示，AI需求引领，NAND供不应求持续。相关标的：国内存储芯片设计厂商兆易创新、普冉股份、聚辰股份、东芯股份、北京君正、恒烁股份等；国产存储模组厂商江波龙、德明利、佰维存储等；受益存储技术迭代的澜起科技、联芸科技、翱捷科技等；半导体设备企业中微公司、精智达、京仪装备、拓荆科技、北方华创等；国内封测企业深科技、汇成股份、通富微电等；配套逻辑芯片厂商晶合集成等。　　2、AI丨英伟达押注下一个万亿级机遇入局AI服务器系统　　据央视财经，当地时间16日，英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋在GTC大会上表示，AI推理市场拐点已经到来，AI从训练阶段全面进入推理与执行阶段，推理算力需求呈指数级爆发，英伟达将与专注推理技术的初创公司“格罗克”合作推出AI服务器系统，从而加大在低成本、低延迟推理计算领域的布局，支撑万亿级算力市场。　　3、半导体丨韩国三星电子工会本周三将就三星史上最大规模罢工计划进行投票若通过5月将中断芯片生产　　据财联社，韩国三星最大的工会组织“全国三星电子工会（NSEU）”威胁称，公司正就三星史上最大规模的罢工计划进行投票——一旦本周三投票通过，将在5月中断芯片生产，这可能给三星公司带来数百亿美元的损失。三星作为全球最大的存储芯片制造商，如果其发生罢工事件，可能会对三星半导体业务造成重大冲击，并加剧全球半导体供应的瓶颈问题，从而抑制从汽车、电脑到智能手机等行业的半导体供应。　　3月17日线索　　1、国际油价直线拉升，石油天然气板块午后回暖　　石油天然气板块午后回暖，截至收盘，和顺石油涨超5%，通源石油、科力股份、中国石油午后翻红，当日收红。 　　3月17日午间，继昨夜大跌后，WTI原油期货、布伦特原油期货大幅反弹，WTI原油期货一度涨超5%，布伦特原油期货一度涨近5%。　　据央视新闻消息，以色列国防军当地时间17日宣布，在伊朗德黑兰和黎巴嫩贝鲁特发动了大规模袭击。以色列国防军发言人说，袭击目标是伊朗和黎巴嫩真主党的基础设施。　　据新华社报道，英国海上贸易行动办公室17日说，一艘停泊在阿曼湾的油轮遭不明发射物袭击，据报告有轻微结构损坏，没有人员受伤。　　信达证券指出，受战事影响，短期内一些石化产品价格波动在加剧，并且中期价格中枢也将受此影响抬升，但长期价格中枢抬升幅度有限。因为如果原油进口通道一旦恢复畅通，在产能过剩的背景下，价格水平预计将会明显回落。红海的曼德海峡与波斯湾的霍尔木兹海峡是中东油气出口的两个重要咽喉，过往从陆地连接两个海域的管道输送能力完全可满足和平时期需求，但本次危机及未来长期的地缘隐忧，预计使得陆上联通管道的重要性和必要性得到提升，未来相关国家可能会考虑提升管道输送能力。相关标的：中国海油/中国海洋石油、中国石油/中国石油股份、中国石化/中国石油化工股份、中海油服/中海油田服务、海油工程、中曼石油等。　　2、市场或将迎来“蚂蚁证券”，A股、港股证券板块联袂上涨　　3月17日，证券板块全天强势，国信证券涨超4%，广发证券涨超2%，中信证券、哈投股份、华泰证券、东方证券等跟涨。 　　港股方面，截至发稿，券商股活跃，中信证券涨近4%，中泰期货、广发证券、国泰海通等跟涨。 　　据21世纪经济报道，3月16日晚间，耀才证券金融发布公告称，蚂蚁集团发起的要约收购已通过中国有关部门审批，预计将于3月30日完成交割。公告也提到，公司股票于16日短暂停牌后，17日开市起将复牌。按照两地监管规定，这一交易需进行审批。2025年9月23日，香港证监会已审批通过，有效期截至2026年3月23日。此次公告则显示，香港证监会的审批将延期至4月30日。“蚂蚁一直想谋取券商牌照，算是得偿所愿。”此前有香港券商人士透露，蚂蚁内部测试证券功能应该已经很久了，市场或将迎来“蚂蚁证券”。　　中国银河指出，当前板块估值处于历史低位，防御与反弹攻守兼备。投资标的主要关注三个方面：一是综合实力强劲的头部券商，如中信证券、国泰海通、华泰证券等，二是财管、自营、跨境等业务领域具备差异化竞争优势的中大型券商，如东方证券、东方财富，三是业绩具有高弹性预期的中小型券商。　　3、上海调整商业用房贷款最低首付比例，房地产板块表现活跃　　3月17日，房地产板块回涨幅回落，截至收盘，世联行、京能置业、京投发展、中洲控股涨停。 　　消息面上，3月16日，中国人民银行上海市分行联合国家金融监督管理总局上海监管局印发《关于调整上海市商业用房购房贷款最低首付款比例政策的通知》，自2026年3月16日起，上海市商业用房（含“商住两用房”）购房贷款最低首付款比例调整为不低于30%。　　开源证券认为，在各项促进房地产市场止跌回稳政策作用下，预计房地产市场将迎来供需改善、价格企稳的良好局面，维持行业“看好”评级。推荐标的：（1）布局城市基本面较好、善于把握改善型客户需求的强信用房企：绿城中国、建发国际集团、招商蛇口、中国金茂、中国海外发展、建发股份、滨江集团、越秀地产；（2）住宅与商业地产双轮驱动，同时受益于地产复苏和消费促进政策：华润置地、新城控股、龙湖集团；（3）“好房子，好服务”政策下服务品质突出的优质物管标的：华润万象生活、绿城服务、保利物业、招商积余、滨江服务、建发物业。（文章来源：21世纪经济报道）","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2620208834","isCrawlerRequest":true}