张津镭:黄金风暴眼中的沉默 PCE数据能否打破多空僵局

市场资讯03-13

3月13日，昨日黄金震荡偏回落行情，亚盘开盘有所上扬，差不多到了5170上方后，整个白盘都是围绕5150上下震荡。直至美盘开始大跌，连续跌破支撑，尾盘最低是到了5053美元一线，最终金价是收盘于5078美元，日线收于2连阴。　　周五（3月13日）中东战事持续升级、霍尔木兹海峡封锁危机、油价创近四年新高，这些本应强力推升金价的避险因素，却被强势美元、降息预期延后和技术性抛压所压制。今日晚间将公布...

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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/forexfxyc/2026-03-13/doc-inhqvtim7874064.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月13日，昨日黄金震荡偏回落行情，亚盘开盘有所上扬，差不多到了5170上方后，整个白盘都是围绕5150上下震荡。直至美盘开始大跌，连续跌破支撑，尾盘最低是到了5053美元一线，最终金价是收盘于5078美元，日线收于2连阴。\n　　周五（3月13日）中东战事持续升级、霍尔木兹海峡封锁危机、油价创近四年新高，这些本应强力推升金价的避险因素，却被强势美元、降息预期延后和技术性抛压所压制。今日晚间将公布...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/forexfxyc/2026-03-13/doc-inhqvtim7874064.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FT_SY_1OZ","symbol_name":"1盎司黄金","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/forexfxyc/2026-03-13/doc-inhqvtim7874064.shtml","article_id":"2619939521","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2619939521","pubTimestamp":1773395760,"columns":[{"name":"黄金","id":5,"label_key":null}],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"sina","name":"sina"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"3月13日，昨日黄金震荡偏回落行情，亚盘开盘有所上扬，差不多到了5170上方后，整个白盘都是围绕5150上下震荡。今日晚间将公布美国1月PCE物价指数，这是美联储最青睐的通胀指标，可能成为打破僵局的催化剂。尤其是霍尔木兹海峡通航情况反复，市场情绪高度敏感。　　总之，今日是典型的“数据风险日”，PCE数据可能引发市场剧烈波动。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"sina.com.cn","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"159831":"黄金","159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","DZZ":"德银黄金两倍做空ETN","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","JNUG":"金矿指数二倍做多ETF","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR","GLL":"2倍做空黄金ETF-ProShares","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","PALL":"abrdn 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Deadlock","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1.5,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"SGOL":1.5,"GDX":1.5,"DZZ":1.5,"XME":1.5,"DGP":1.5,"PALL":1.5,"IAU":1.5,"GDXJ":1.5,"IAUM":1.5,"GCmain":1.5,"SGCmain":0.6,"1OZmain":1.5,"GLL":1.5,"SGUmain":0.6,"QOmain":1.5,"GDXD":1.5,"GLDM":1.5,"DUST":1.5,"AAAU":1.5,"NUGT":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"JNUG":1.5,"MGCmain":1.5},"content_text":"3月13日，昨日黄金震荡偏回落行情，亚盘开盘有所上扬，差不多到了5170上方后，整个白盘都是围绕5150上下震荡。直至美盘开始大跌，连续跌破支撑，尾盘最低是到了5053美元一线，最终金价是收盘于5078美元，日线收于2连阴。\n　　周五（3月13日）中东战事持续升级、霍尔木兹海峡封锁危机、油价创近四年新高，这些本应强力推升金价的避险因素，却被强势美元、降息预期延后和技术性抛压所压制。今日晚间将公布美国1月PCE物价指数，这是美联储最青睐的通胀指标，可能成为打破僵局的催化剂。\n　　可以说，现在避险需求仍在流入，但被更强烈的宏观因素暂时压制。尤其是霍尔木兹海峡通航情况反复，市场情绪高度敏感。今晚PEC数据若低于预期：强化通胀受控判断，提振降息预期，利好黄金反弹至5150上方。若高于预期：加息担忧重燃，金价可能急跌至5000关口下方。\n　　从技术上来看，昨日黄金先回弹测压5180-90区域，在此区域震荡承压后于晚盘时段释放下跌动能，下方直接跌至5055一线，目前虽有所回弹，但小时图级别下跌趋势已然形成，日内上方可关注5125-30一带短压先，其次可关注小时图趋势线压力5160附近，技术上日内可能会呈现偏弱震荡，但至于是否会进一步扩大下跌空间，可能还是需要基本面方面有“不利多即利空”的助力，小时图级别下方还是先关注趋势线5060-50一带争夺，若能跌破则再看5000整数关口争夺。\n　　总之，今日是典型的“数据风险日”，PCE数据可能引发市场剧烈波动。目前局势操作难度不小，建议各位金友多看少动，等待数据落地和技术面企稳后再布局。当前多空矛盾突出，尽量不去激进追单，每单带好止损止盈即可。\n　　故日内操作上建议：\n　　黄金：5050-5180区间操作，止损10美金，止盈80-100美金。\n　　今日重点关注的财经数据与事件：2026年3月13日周五\n　　20：30美国1月核心PCE物价指数年率\n　　20：30美国1月个人支出月率\n　　20：30美国第四季度实际GDP年化季率修正值\n　　20：30美国1月核心PCE物价指数月率\n　　20：30美国1月耐用品订单月率\n　　22：00美国1月JOLTs职位空缺\n　　22：00美国3月一年期通胀率预期初值\n　　22：00美国3月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：陈平","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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