分析：若油价持续高企，新加坡通胀或将升温

环球市场播报03-12 16:45

　　华侨银行集团研究部分析师表示，如果油价到2026年中期仍保持高位，新加坡的通胀轨迹可能会变得更加清晰。飙升的油价重新带来了输入性通胀压力再起的风险。从历史上看，能源价格通过燃料和公用事业成本以及运输、物流和更广泛的供应链对新加坡的通胀前景产生影响。鉴于新加坡对能源进口的高度依赖，全球能源价格的变动会比拥有更大国内生产基础的经济体更快地传导至国内通胀动态。华侨银行表示，如果原油均价从每桶63美元升至每桶92美元，新加坡2026年的整体通胀率可能从约1.3%升至约1.8%。

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