花旗：预期铜短期内或跌破1.2万美元，三个月内或反弹至1.35万-1.4万美元

格隆汇03-05

3月5日，花旗发表研报强调，在伊朗冲突持续期间，铜价面临显著下行风险。未来几周，铜价跌至每吨12000美元以下的可能性确实存在，因海湾地区能源基础设施和航运持续受到干扰下，市场会因美联储降息预期及周期性增长预期转弱，而进一步平仓铜。基本情境预测是，冲突将未来几周内缓和，铜价在三个月内反弹至每吨13500至14000美元。整体而言，基本金属对持续冲突的风险敞口偏淡，因为对能源供应冲击的担忧，将促使...

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