避险属性遭质疑！比特币与美股相关性升至年内最高水平

智通财经网03-07

随着中东局势升级引发全球市场波动，比特币与美国股市的走势再次高度同步，这一现象令不少加密货币投资者感到担忧。最新数据显示，比特币与标普500指数的相关性升至年内最高水平，表明这一数字资产在当前环境下更像是风险资产，而非避险工具。智通财经APP获悉，比特币与标普500指数的30天相关系数已升至0.74，为今年以来最高水平。随着美以伊冲突带来的地缘政治不确定性加剧，美国股市近期承压，数字资产也同步回落...

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Correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. stocks rises to highest level of the year","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"83042":0.6,"IWN":0.6,"SRTY":0.6,"TNA":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"IWO":0.6,"RWM":0.6,"UWM":0.6,"TZA":0.6,"TWM":0.6},"content_text":"随着中东局势升级引发全球市场波动，比特币与美国股市的走势再次高度同步，这一现象令不少加密货币投资者感到担忧。最新数据显示，比特币与标普500指数的相关性升至年内最高水平，表明这一数字资产在当前环境下更像是风险资产，而非避险工具。智通财经APP获悉，比特币与标普500指数的30天相关系数已升至0.74，为今年以来最高水平。随着美以伊冲突带来的地缘政治不确定性加剧，美国股市近期承压，数字资产也同步回落。周五，标普500指数下跌超1.3%，并录得去年11月以来最差单周表现，而比特币在盘中一度下跌约5%。目前，比特币仍处于持续数月的回调之中。该加密货币此前从高位大幅回落，目前价格约在6.8万美元附近，较此前峰值已经下跌约一半。与此同时，市场交易信号显示买盘兴趣不足，这进一步加剧了市场对其短期走势的担忧。分析师Athanasios Psarofagis表示，比特币与股市相关性上升与其原本的定位形成明显反差。“在市场波动加剧时，比特币本应表现出更低的相关性，而不是更高。”他指出，历史上比特币在市场动荡时期偶尔会出现上涨，因此当前走势让一些投资者感到意外。比特币最初被宣传为一种去中心化金融资产，旨在为投资者提供一种独立于传统金融体系的价值储存工具。然而近年来，随着机构资金的进入以及加密资产市场与传统金融体系联系日益紧密，比特币的价格走势越来越容易受到宏观风险情绪影响。近期市场动荡主要源于多重因素叠加，包括美国就业数据疲弱、中东冲突升级以及油价上涨带来的通胀担忧。此外，美国关于加密货币监管政策的不确定性，也给市场带来了额外压力。尽管如此，一些加密资产投资者仍对后市保持谨慎乐观。Crypto is Macro Now通讯作者Noelle Acheson表示，比特币与股市的相关性未来可能再次发生变化。如果美股进一步大幅下跌，比特币可能继续受到风险资产抛售影响，但也有可能在结构性卖压减弱后表现出一定的相对强势。更多港股重磅资讯，下载智通财经app更多港股及海外理财资讯，请点击www.zhitongcaijing.com（搜索“智通财经”）；欲加入智通港股投资群，请加智通客服微信(ztcjkf)","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2617655461","isCrawlerRequest":true}