中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级上调目标价至12港币

智通财经02-26

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑到玖龙纸业(02689)自制浆成本红利渐释放，上调FY26-27e净利润10%、12%至40、45亿元，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.7x、0.6x;由于板块周期略修复，该行维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价33%至12港币，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.9x、0.8x，隐含31%上行空间。中金主要观点如下：1HFY26业绩符合前期预告和该行预期公司公告...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2614306952?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-02-26 09:16","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2614306952","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至12港币","media":"智通财经","content":"<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑到玖龙纸业(02689)自制浆成本红利渐释放，上调FY26-27e净利润10%、12%至40、45亿元，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.7x、0.6x;由于板块周期略修复，该行维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价33%至12港币，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.9x、0.8x，隐含31%上行空间。中金主要观点如下：1HFY26业绩符合前期预告和该行预期公司公告...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407399.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至12港币</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至12港币\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-26 09:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407399.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑到玖龙纸业(02689)自制浆成本红利渐释放，上调FY26-27e净利润10%、12%至40、45亿元，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.7x、0.6x;由于板块周期略修复，该行维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价33%至12港币，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.9x、0.8x，隐含31%上行空间。中金主要观点如下：1HFY26业绩符合前期预告和该行预期公司公告...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407399.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"02689","symbol_name":"玖龙纸业","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407399.html","article_id":"2614306952","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2614306952","pubTimestamp":1772068592,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","name":"智通财经网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑到玖龙纸业自制浆成本红利渐释放，上调FY26-27e净利润10%、12%至40、45亿元，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.7x、0.6x;由于板块周期略修复，该行维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价33%至12港币，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.9x、0.8x，隐含31%上行空间。中金主要观点如下：1HFY26业绩符合前期预告和该行预期公司公告1HFY26业绩：实现净利润22.1亿元，扣除永续债利息后归母净利润19.7亿元，同比+319%，符合前期预告区间。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zhitongcaijing.com","property":["rate"],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"02689":"玖龙纸业"},"translate_title":"CICC: Maintain Nine Dragons Paper (02689) outperform industry rating and raise target price to HK $12","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"02689":1.5},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑到玖龙纸业(02689)自制浆成本红利渐释放，上调FY26-27e净利润10%、12%至40、45亿元，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.7x、0.6x;由于板块周期略修复，该行维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价33%至12港币，对应FY26-27 P/B 0.9x、0.8x，隐含31%上行空间。中金主要观点如下：1HFY26业绩符合前期预告和该行预期公司公告1HFY26业绩：实现净利润22.1亿元，扣除永续债利息后归母净利润19.7亿元，同比+319%，符合前期预告区间。吨净利明显改善，主要在自制浆上量公司公告期间销量约1,240万吨(同比+100万吨，核心在白卡纸+50万吨、文化纸+30万吨);吨纸净利约160元/吨，同比+120元/吨，该行认为增量核心在自制浆产量爬坡。资本开支略上调;资产负债率五年来首次下滑公司公告已无造纸产能投放，仅剩四条浆线(250万吨化学浆，新增一条东莞50万吨拟27Q3落地)，投产地点为天津、重庆、北海、东莞，天津、东莞是传统箱板瓦楞纸基地，该行认为公司此举或通过增加本色浆优化箱板纸结构，放大传统黑纸系盈利优势。该行预计公司剩余资本开支100亿元内，于27Q3收尾，公司略上调FY26资本开支至125亿元(前期指引110亿元)。截至1HFY26，公司资产负债率64.7%，同比-1ppt，为过去五年首次下滑;经营现金流、资本开支、自由现金流为33亿元(同比下滑，主要是应收增多)、52亿元、-19亿元。黑纸：箱板瓦楞纸平稳复苏该行估算期间吨纸净利约100元。往前看，该行认为2026年行业供给基本收尾、需求平稳增长，该行看好板块周期筑底、迎来供需面平稳修复行情，近期玖龙各大基地均发布春节后50元/吨提价函，公司作为国内最大的箱板瓦楞纸龙头(市占率25%左右)，业绩受益板块修复弹性明显。白纸：自制浆产量及吨净利或超预期该行预计1HFY26纸浆产量在200万吨以上，是此次业绩超预期的核心增量;从纸种拆分来看，考虑到公司自制浆自供率接近100%，该行认为公司相比同行的超额利润进一步放大，该行预计白纸(会计核算计入纸浆)平均吨净利在300元以上。风险提示：需求不及预期;浆价大幅波动;资本开支超预期;负债率过高。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2614306952","isCrawlerRequest":true}

中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至12港币

精彩评论

中金：维持玖龙纸业(02689)跑赢行业评级上调目标价至12港币