避险又蹭AI！美股公用事业板块从“沉闷蓝筹”变身投资香饽饽

智通财经02-19

智通财经APP获悉，多年来，精明投资者早已押注人工智能(AI)带来的用电需求将让电力公司赚得盆满钵满，事实也印证了这一判断。如今，这一逻辑彻底出圈，行情一路飙升至前所未有的高度。今年以来，美股规模最大的公用事业板块ETF已大涨6.8%，轻松跑赢大盘。曾经以稳定分红、温和增长著称的“沉闷蓝筹股”，如今几乎成为所有投资机构的标配资产。市场需求旺盛到近乎贪婪，该板块正陷入被SentimenTrader...

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The U.S. stock utility sector has transformed from a \"dull blue chip\" to a hot investment cake","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"XLU":1.93,"NEE":1.9,"TWM":0.6,"IWN":0.6,"CEG":1.87,"MNQmain":0.6,"UWM":0.6,"TNA":0.6,"RWM":0.6,"SRTY":0.6,"TZA":0.6,"DUK":1.87,"IWO":0.6},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，多年来，精明投资者早已押注人工智能(AI)带来的用电需求将让电力公司赚得盆满钵满，事实也印证了这一判断。如今，这一逻辑彻底出圈，行情一路飙升至前所未有的高度。今年以来，美股规模最大的公用事业板块ETF已大涨6.8%，轻松跑赢大盘。曾经以稳定分红、温和增长著称的“沉闷蓝筹股”，如今几乎成为所有投资机构的标配资产。市场需求旺盛到近乎贪婪，该板块正陷入被SentimenTrader分析师称为“极端购买狂潮”的行情——估值已脱离基本面，回调风险正在积聚。问题在于，板块的大部分增长预期或许已被提前消化。2月13日，新纪元能源(NEE.US)将季度股息上调10%后，股价创下历史新高。该公司已与微软(MSFT.US)、Meta(META.US)签订核电供电协议。杜克能源(DUK.US)、Constellation Energy(CEG.US)也因与两大科技巨头的数据中心合作不断扩容，股价在过去一年屡创历史峰值。“眼下这一交易已经非常拥挤，”Muriel Siebert & Co.首席投资官Mark Malek在采访中表示，“我不建议在当前点位入场。对于还没上车的投资者而言，机会之窗已经关闭。”一位期权交易员在周三获利了结，了结其在公用事业精选行业指数ETF-SPDR(XLU.US)上的多头头寸，净赚40万美元。该交易使用看涨期权，押注该ETF到6月中旬将涨至47至52美元之间——该ETF上周收于46.50美元后，这一头寸价值随之增长，不过近两个交易日有所回落。尽管部分交易者担忧行情已临近顶部，但仍有坚定支持者认为，相比押注哪家企业能在芯片或消费端AI领域胜出，投资电力企业是参与AI浪潮中风险更低的选择。另一股需求则来自对科技股估值过高感到担忧的投资者。他们纷纷减持科技股，转向市场中更安全的领域——传统上包括公用事业、医疗保健和必需消费品。Malek表示：“如果你想着要撤出火热的AI概念股，但又不想放弃AI行情，同时市场正在从高成长板块轮动，把这几点结合起来看，公用事业就显得极具吸引力。”花旗分析师Ryan Levine持相似观点，他认为，投资者因担忧AI板块波动而涌向避险资产，公用事业将成为受益者。“公用事业站在赢家一方，因为企业会持续加码电厂、输配电线路建设。与其他可能受损的经济领域相比，它们是资本开支加速的直接受益者，”他表示。Levine认为，即便不算数据中心带来的增长，仍有多重因素支撑公用事业板块上行。“AI普及带来的资本开支增加、盈利增长预期改善、利率下行，这些都是行业长期利好。因此，我们整体更看好受监管的公用事业领域。”Sevens Report技术分析师Tyler Richey表示，上周长期美国国债收益率回落，推动了公用事业股上涨。市场波动期间，美国国债回归传统避险资产角色，而借贷成本下降对依赖发债投资基建的公用事业企业尤为有利。“公用事业板块接下来的走势，很大程度上取决于国债的下一步动向。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2612402367","isCrawlerRequest":true}