沪指近十年春节后上涨概率达70%！有股民用年终奖补仓

格隆汇02-11

据时代周报，从历史行情来看，A股市场存在显著的春节“日历效应”。据Wind数据，过去十年以来，A股有较大概率上涨，上证指数在节后5个交易日和节后10个交易日上涨概率达到70%。有股民用年终奖补仓，业内普遍看好节后行情。“刚发了5万元年终奖，马上就用来补仓了。”一名来自江苏的股民张生称，目前其重仓持有某上市银行股票，打算“持股过节”，虽然目前持仓为浮亏状态，但其仍看好银行的后市表现，“就当是存定期了...

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There are civilian year-end bonuses to cover positions","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159967":0.6,"399001":0.6,"399006":0.6,"510300":0.6,"510880":0.6,"512510":0.6,"512880":0.6,"515890":0.6,"000905.SH":0.6,"000300.SH":0.6,"000001":1.95,"000688.SH":0.6},"content_text":"据时代周报，从历史行情来看，A股市场存在显著的春节“日历效应”。据Wind数据，过去十年以来，A股有较大概率上涨，上证指数在节后5个交易日和节后10个交易日上涨概率达到70%。有股民用年终奖补仓，业内普遍看好节后行情。“刚发了5万元年终奖，马上就用来补仓了。”一名来自江苏的股民张生称，目前其重仓持有某上市银行股票，打算“持股过节”，虽然目前持仓为浮亏状态，但其仍看好银行的后市表现，“就当是存定期了，股息率现在看起来也还可以。”苏商银行研究员付一夫表示，当前市场行情下，建议保留一定仓位过节。对投资者而言，持股过节还是持币过节，做出选择的核心依据更应该着眼于对市场中长期趋势的判断，目前，支撑A股“慢牛”的逻辑并未改变。他指出，对于风险承受能力强、投资周期3个月以上的投资者来说，建议维持70%以上的仓位，核心逻辑是把握节后盈利验证期的成长机会。重点可布局两大方向：一是科技成长主线，包括AI应用、半导体、人形机器人等；二是新能源高景气板块，如HJT电池、储能等。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2610988309","isCrawlerRequest":true}