【券商聚焦】巴克莱：美联储缩表将耗时多年，或需降息来抵消金融环境收紧

金吾财讯02-11

金吾财讯 | 巴克莱策略师表示，美联储向更小规模的资产负债表过渡，将需要央行与财政部之间进行密切协调，以防止市场波动过大。他们写道，这一过程将导致金融环境收紧，而曾呼吁大幅削减规模达6.6万亿美元资产组合的美联储主席提名人凯文·沃什，可能不得不通过更低的政策利率来对冲这种收紧。巴克莱策略师Anshul Pradhan、Samuel Earl和Demi Hu写道：“资产负债表正常化将是一个持续多年的过程。”他们补充称：“鉴于沃什希望缩表，以及美联储与财政部的目标并不总是同步，投资者很可能会在这个转换过程中要求风险溢价。”

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