特斯拉拟2026年豪掷200亿美元押注AI与机器人，汽车基本盘持续下滑

DoNews02-07

特斯拉计划于2026年投入200亿美元资本开支，主要用于人工智能基础设施、无人驾驶Cybercab及Optimus人形机器人等业务。该金额相当于其2025年全年净利润的5倍以上。公司已宣布Model S/X将于2026年第二季度停产，产线转供Optimus机器人生产。2025年特斯拉全球交付量为163.61万辆，同比下滑9%，连续两年下降；全年营收亦出现首次同比下降。其主力车型Model 3与...

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2项目已实质性终止。马斯克表示，除计划于2026年4月推出的高价Roadster外，未来仅生产自动驾驶汽车Cybercab。Cybercab为无方向盘、双座设计，量产目标定于2026年4月，马斯克称其产量将超过特斯拉其他所有车型总和。Robotaxi商业化进展依赖车队规模扩张与实际落地运营，目前车队超500辆，预计每月翻倍增长，但尚无公开可验证的规模化营收数据。Optimus仍处于测试阶段，未承担核心生产任务，尚未形成明确应用场景与商业路径。特斯拉在《宏图计划第四篇章》中提出新使命：建设“可持续的富足”世界，路径为通过自动驾驶与AI驱动产品实现转型。其AI相关投资涵盖自研芯片、超算集群及数据中心建设，但上述基建类投入回报周期漫长，短期内难以支撑业绩改善。资本市场对特斯拉的评价逻辑发生显著变化：季报发布后股价常先跌后涨，呈现典型‘电话会逆转’特征。2025年以来多个季度重复此模式。分析师指出，机构投资者已较少关注汽车销售与利润基本面，转而聚焦未来业务赔率。晨星将目标价由300美元上调至400美元，依据即为Robotaxi、FSD订阅及Optimus等远期业务预期。马斯克承认外部压力推动AI投入，称‘很多投资者要求我们投AI’，并披露股东普遍支持向xAI追加20亿美元投资。其个人动力亦明确：完成天价薪酬计划需达成1000万份FSD活跃订阅、100万台Optimus交付、100万辆Cybercab商业运营及8.5万亿美元市值四大条件。此外，马斯克将AI视为突破海外低成本制造竞争、开启硅基时代的关键战略支点。华尔街日报指出：‘马斯克眼里只有机器人和人工智能，但卖车才是他实现高科技梦想的提款机，也是他的首要任务。’通用电气曾因激进转向金融业务而丧失工业主导地位，成为前车之鉴。特斯拉当前策略将汽车业务作为支撑AI愿景的现金流工具，而非经营重心，这一转向已引发对其长期可持续性的审慎评估。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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