SpaceX与xAI“双剑合璧”，特斯拉(TSLA.US)会是马斯克下一步棋吗？

智通财经网02-04

过去两天，马斯克的商业版图又完成了一次历史性的整合。终于，这位科技界的“颠覆者”将社交媒体平台、人工智能(AI)初创公司、卫星互联网业务和火箭制造商都整合到了同一屋檐下。现在，投资者们不禁要问，马斯克会不会让特斯拉一起加入?据媒体此前报道，SpaceX近期也曾探讨过与特斯拉合并的可能性。分析师们对于这类交易近期是否仍有可能达成意见不一。美国金融服务公司Baird策略师表示，收购xAI可能会使...

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move?","themeId":"7eb510e445505424e5d20be129c34a80","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLG":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLA":1.97,"CRSH":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLP":0.6},"content_text":"过去两天，马斯克的商业版图又完成了一次历史性的整合。终于，这位科技界的“颠覆者”将社交媒体平台、人工智能(AI)初创公司、卫星互联网业务和火箭制造商都整合到了同一屋檐下。现在，投资者们不禁要问，马斯克会不会让特斯拉一起加入?据媒体此前报道，SpaceX近期也曾探讨过与特斯拉合并的可能性。分析师们对于这类交易近期是否仍有可能达成意见不一。美国金融服务公司Baird策略师表示，收购xAI可能会使SpaceX与特斯拉的交易至少在短期内搁浅，因为马斯克现在的注意力可能会转向SpaceX计划于6月中旬进行的首次公开募股。据知情人士此前透露，SpaceX考虑在6月(马斯克生日附近)上市，融资额可能高达500亿美元，或成为史上规模最大的IPO。预计估值有望达到1.5万亿美元，接近特斯拉的1.6万亿美元。Baird在最新报告中写道：“鉴于xAI与SpaceX接下来面临重大的整合工作，我们认为，即便未来真的发生，将特斯拉纳入其中也不太可能是一个短期事件。”“无论这种可能性是否存在，马斯克旗下公司整体规模的扩大，最终都会对特斯拉构成利好，不论其是作为独立公司存在，还是作为合并后实体的一部分。”他补充道。不过，美股知名科技分析师、韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)预计，特斯拉和 SpaceX  的合作可能在12到18个月内发生，并成为马斯克控制更多人工智能生态系统所需的“圣杯”。“我们预计未来一年特斯拉和SpaceX之间将有更多交叉合作，这对特斯拉的发展前景来说是个利好消息，”艾夫斯补充道。而实际上，这几家公司之间的合作关系早就开始了。根据监管文件显示，SpaceX在2024年至2025年间至少向特斯拉支付了250万美元，用于与其达成的商业、许可和支持协议;而特斯拉还在2024年向SpaceX支付了80万美元，用于使用这家航天公司拥有的一架飞机。此外，xAI在过去两年中已斥资超过6.2亿美元购买了特斯拉的Megapack电池，用于为其数据中心供电。特斯拉还将xAI的Grok聊天机器人集成到其电动汽车和人形机器人中。整合是好事还是坏事?曾为特斯拉撰写研究报告超过十年的大摩分析师Adam  Jonas在特斯拉最新年度股东大会后表示：“特斯拉与xAI的关系(在财务和战略上)决定着特斯拉的长期成功，部分原因是数据、软件、硬件和制造在递归循环中天然存在的协同效应。”Zacks Investment Research的高级客户投资组合经理Brian  Mulberry则认为，特斯拉的能源业务可以成为运营现金流的“良好缓冲”，特斯拉可以重新利用汽车生产线来制造自己的机器人以及SpaceX的火箭和发动机。当然也有人对整合持怀疑态度。The Future Fund管理合伙人Gary  Black表示，特斯拉和SpaceX的成功合并可能需要特斯拉发行更多股票，从而稀释现有股东的权益。“许多现有的特斯拉机构股东会对太空旅行/通信业务带来的25%利润的不确定性感到担忧，并会出售他们的股票。”他补充道。本文转载自财联社，智通财经编辑：陈雯芳。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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