AI风口的超级爆点! 微软(MSFT.US)引领“AI+网络安全”风潮 Palo(PANW.US)等网安巨头紧随其后

智通财经01-27

智通财经APP获悉，华尔街金融巨头摩根士丹利近日发布研报称，企业端超大规模数据工作负载持续向云端迁移，将使微软(MSFT.US)等超大规模云计算服务商们(hyperscalers)在网络安全市场中的份额继续提升，这也意味着微软等云巨头们不仅持续受益于史无前例的AI应用大浪潮以及公有云增长趋势，还受益于AI浪潮所带来的强劲“AI+云端网络安全服务系统”需求。此外，大摩分析师团队还指出，Palo ...

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Microsoft (MSFT.US) leads the \"AI + network security\" trend, and cybersecurity giants such as Palo (PANW.US) follow closely behind","themeId":"4fed6f53b92c0d1db7f67091af815249","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CRWD":1.88,"MSFT":1.97,"PANW":1.91},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，华尔街金融巨头摩根士丹利近日发布研报称，企业端超大规模数据工作负载持续向云端迁移，将使微软(MSFT.US)等超大规模云计算服务商们(hyperscalers)在网络安全市场中的份额继续提升，这也意味着微软等云巨头们不仅持续受益于史无前例的AI应用大浪潮以及公有云增长趋势，还受益于AI浪潮所带来的强劲“AI+云端网络安全服务系统”需求。此外，大摩分析师团队还指出，Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US.US)和CrowdStrike(CRWD.US)这样的平台型大规模网络安全厂商最有机会与之进行激烈竞争，而Okta(OKTA.US)和Varonis Systems(VRNS.US)等较小规模网络安全服务厂商们则将面临较大压力，市场份额可能被进一步吞噬。这也促使大摩分析师团队将Varonis(VRNS.US)的股票评级从“增持”(Overweight)大幅下调至“与大盘持平”(Equal-weight)。微软并不是像Palo Alto Networks与CrowdStrike这样的传统意义上的“纯正网安技术龙头”，但是大摩分析师团队表示，当工作负载迁到云上，安全控制点天然更靠近云计算服务平台与操作系统/身份平台本身，于是云计算巨头们(即hyperscalers——微软/谷歌/亚马逊)更容易把安全能力“内嵌+打包”进云与生产力套件里，份额随之被动上升。在这份研究报告中，摩根士丹利直接把云计算hyperscalers 视为“当下网安市场最大规模的网络安全供应商群体”，并给出最新统计——合计约占网络安全类型软件平台市场约14%(仅微软就占据约11%)，且过去5年合并化网络安全业务规模已显著扩张;同时指出云工作负载占比已从三年前约25%升至约47%。AI风口的超级爆点——网络安全永远处于优先级随着全球进入ChatGPT所引领的全新AI时代，当前网络安全市场保持强劲增长态势，全球企业尤其是美国科技巨头们对网络安全领域的投入在多重因素驱动下稳步抬升。在全新生成式AI技术加持下的网络安全服务兼具低技术门槛带来的无与伦比便捷性，以及AI技术带来的网络安全服务效率指数级提升，这两点对于正在布局AI软件应用的企业来说非常具备吸引力。开发AI软件应用离不开AI大模型以及企业级大数据这两大核心技术的支持，而聚焦低技术操作门槛以及高效率的“AI+网络安全服务”无疑将为这两大技术提供更强大的网络安全保驾护航服务。大摩分析师团队表示，“AI+网络安全”已经成为网络安全行业的新一轮投资主线，人工智能正深刻影响网络安全版图：一方面AI扩大风险与威胁，另一方面也催生新的网络安全技术需求以及融合人工智能技术的最前沿低门槛网络安全解决方案。随着越来越多网络安全领军者聚焦“AI+网络安全”模式，有望进一步提升网络安全选项在企业IT支出中的地位，并重塑科技股投资逻辑。由Meta Marshall领衔的摩根士丹利资深分析师们在周一发布的一份投资者报告中表示：“超大规模云服务商合计已占整体网络安全软件市场份额的约14%(仅微软就约占11%);而且它们合并后的网络安全业务线规模在过去五年里已增长至原来的三倍以上，超大规模云服务商们合计如今已是市场中最大规模的网络安全供应商。”更大型的网络安全平台厂商，比如Palo Alto、CrowdStrike以及Zscaler(ZS.US)，在应对超大规模云计算服务商提供的网络安全产品方面处于最佳优势位置，因为它们同样能够诉诸成本效率与便捷化低技术门槛，并且它们声誉在行业中排名靠前。Marshall等大摩分析师援引最新企业调查数据表示：“更大规模支出向基于AI技术平台的云端迁移，网络安全仍是全球范围前三大IT支出市场之一，以及规模高达2700亿美元的庞大总可寻址市场(TAM)，使得网络安全领域成为绝大部分超大规模云服务商日益关注的领域，不排除它们和大型网络安全平台们进行深度合作，堪称是人工智能风口之下的重要技术领域。”除了微软之外，另一云计算领军者谷歌(GOOGL.US)近期对Wiz发起的大规模收购——预计将于今年完成并购式交割，也将使其在网络安全领域取得突破。谷歌此前还在2022年收购了网络安全公司Mandiant。Marshall等分析师指出：“Wiz的一些渠道转售商认为，待完成的收购对销售带来的负面影响更大，尤其是在并非大型谷歌GCP客户的情况下;但我们也从现有客户处听到非常强烈的意愿，迫切希望在收购完成后继续使用Wiz。”大摩分析师团队还表示：“在网络安全方面，亚马逊可谓是‘云计算超级巨头们’这三者中最为低调的，基本只是围绕旗下的全球最大规模云平台亚马逊AWS的云端工作负载提供安全产品，但没有面向外部的产品布局。”微软继续领跑全球AI浪潮+网络安全热潮摩根士丹利指出，目前已有47%的工作负载在云端，而三年前这一比例仅仅为25%。Marshall分析师团队补充称：“随着超大规模云服务商受益于基础设施进一步向云端迁移，AI成为推动更多工作负载上云的催化剂，以及网络安全领域对更具成本效益‘AI+解决方案’的追寻，我们预计这些平台供应商的影响力将继续增强。我们并不认为大客户们会把超大规模云计算服务商们视为‘最佳同类’类型的供应商，但渠道转售商们确实提到，当CISO组织向CFO汇报时，‘嵌入在内’(included)的云计算价值主张很难被放弃。”大摩表示，“嵌入式的自带安全(included)预算优势”堪称微软与谷歌等云计算巨头们相比于平台型网络安全供应商们的最大优势之一。比如，上云/上 M365 的企业往往已经在买许可证或云服务，微软把身份、终端、邮箱、云安全、SIEM 等以套件方式打包(或深度优惠)，在“CISO 向 CFO 汇报”的组织里，“已经包含/边际成本更低”的价值主张很难让人拒绝——这正是摩根士丹利在报告中强调的优势机制之一。此外，对于微软云计算平台的大客户们来说，控制面与数据面都集中在微软云平台里，意味着迁到 Azure/M365 之后，身份(Entra)、终端(Defender)、日志与检测响应(Sentinel/Defender portal)更容易做到“默认接入、统一治理、自动化编排”，部署与运维摩擦或者一键式部署成本更低。微软同时也将继续主导全球AI应用超级浪潮与公有云趋势，法国巴黎银行(BNP PARIBAS)近日发布的一份研报显示，随着AI应用浪潮继续在全球企业掀起波澜，包括微软、谷歌在内的全球最核心超级云计算巨头们将在人工智能应用领域继续主导软件市场。来自法巴银行的分析师重申对微软股票的“跑赢大盘”评级，并且对于微软的目标股价维系在632美元。截至上周五美股收盘，微软股价收于465.90美元。随着超级云计算巨头们将称雄AI时代，法巴银行看好微软胜于传统云软件领军者们，认为AI应用与公有云支出将不断向大规模云服务商倾斜，而最新企业调查显示，企业们普遍对传统云软件公司相关的IT支出持更谨慎态度。法巴银行援引的企业调查报告指出，微软、亚马逊AWS以及谷歌GCP云计算平台等作为AI应用和云基础设施的主要推动者，在企业软件支出调查中依然得分较高，显示企业客户们在这些平台上支出更有弹性(resilient spend)以及更加乐观的订单增长意愿。这份报告如实描述ServiceNow和SAP相对基本面韧性较好、需求改善，但同时法巴银行对其未来展望的措辞并不如对于云计算巨头们那样的积极增长立场，而且对ServiceNow的目标价大幅下调显示了更谨慎的风险资产定价，一些云原生/监控类公司甚至出现疲弱趋势。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"corporation","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":2,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2606203058","isCrawlerRequest":true}